Will AI solve the Hadwiger-Nelson problem in 2026?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2027-01-01
Resolves by: https://huggingface.co/spaces/TIGER-Lab/MMLU-Pro

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.14. down 0.02 over the period, from 0.17. Range 0.14 to 0.17. 145 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.17	15	15
0.18	160	176
0.19	20	196
0.25	11	206
0.26	9	216
0.27	50	266
0.37	19	285
0.58	10	295
0.59	483	778
0.66	10	788
0.97	23	811
0.98	48	859

Spread0.05Mid0.15

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.12	20	20
0.10	71	91
0.09	156	247
0.08	64	311
0.07	149	460
0.06	577	1,037
0.05	85	1,122
0.04	1,344	2,466
0.03	507	2,972
0.02	5,490	8,462
0.01	4,439	12,900

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.88	20	20
0.90	71	91
0.91	156	247
0.92	64	311
0.93	149	460
0.94	577	1,037
0.95	85	1,122
0.96	1,344	2,466
0.97	507	2,972
0.98	5,490	8,462
0.99	4,439	12,900

Spread0.05Mid0.85

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.83	15	15
0.82	160	176
0.81	20	196
0.75	11	206
0.74	9	216
0.73	50	266
0.63	19	285
0.42	10	295
0.41	483	778
0.34	10	788
0.03	23	811
0.02	48	859

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
0x2b670A311561DcAF741D8155451774D3Fa7fb814-1778467735876	Yes	398.32
Dr.PNL	Yes	320.69
0x4025c911Cf213D04ff2d409BAEe57D1b270c3644-1781053677729	Yes	165.58
youtube-trader	Yes	72.02
tradetosurvive1	Yes	53
IbnKhaldun	Yes	44.54
pppnn	Yes	37.51
Laribobibo	Yes	19.21
0x6b0e…e3ea	Yes	15.21
taerv534	Yes	12.28
0x651A84eC4AAB705bB3d8f4c831ef46eCdbC622E9-1763158430545	Yes	10
FrozenParasite	No	833.04
xtxpleasecallme	No	114.71
GrokEnjoyer	No	90.72
pump.princess	No	50
Miguel262144	No	33
Elias.Thornwell	No	16
wert4	No	4.54
lmartrading	No	4.49
0xe83c568e7b3C643a2787d8768F340a00FF0e0d7F-1768197654339	No	1.35

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
12:05:01	BUY	No	0.84	50	$42.00
12:12:17	SELL	No	0.85	26	$22.10
14:00:41	SELL	Yes	0.14	10	$1.40
17:16:32	SELL	No	0.85	1	$0.94
15:11:25	SELL	No	0.85	0	$0.17
15:05:41	SELL	Yes	0.14	20	$2.80
08:02:29	BUY	Yes	0.1499999925	7	$1.00
06:28:09	BUY	Yes	0.13	10	$1.30
06:27:47	SELL	No	0.87	10	$8.70
00:14:32	BUY	No	0.88	12	$10.81
00:14:32	BUY	No	0.8799999935	12	$10.81
00:14:32	BUY	No	0.88	12	$10.45
00:14:32	SELL	Yes	0.12	51	$6.18
23:49:07	SELL	No	0.87	9	$7.41
23:13:34	BUY	No	0.8383136613	86	$71.73
23:13:34	BUY	No	0.8499999975	20	$17.20
23:13:34	BUY	No	0.85	21	$17.60
23:13:34	SELL	Yes	0.17	166	$28.15
23:04:32	SELL	No	0.81	59	$47.92
23:04:32	SELL	No	0.81	13	$10.39
23:04:31	BUY	Yes	0.1858286304	20	$3.80
23:04:31	BUY	Yes	0.16	7	$1.15
23:04:31	BUY	Yes	0.1509912576	331	$50.00
22:43:06	BUY	Yes	0.11	67	$7.34
22:42:57	BUY	Yes	0.1	21	$2.10