Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: None on this market
Ends: 2026-12-31

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.070. down 0.003 over the period, from 0.073. Range 0.070 to 0.073. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.071	30	30
0.072	449	479
0.073	284	764
0.074	71	835
0.075	60	894
0.076	84	979
0.077	84	1,063
0.078	284	1,348
0.079	74	1,422
0.080	84	1,507
0.081	114	1,621
0.082	140	1,761

Spread0.001Mid0.071

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.070	4	4
0.035	30	34
0.034	358	392
0.033	1,005	1,397
0.032	5	1,402
0.024	7	1,410
0.023	490	1,900
0.017	7	1,907
0.016	325	2,232
0.014	417	2,649
0.013	5,305	7,954
0.011	10	7,964

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.930	4	4
0.965	30	34
0.966	358	392
0.967	1,005	1,397
0.968	5	1,402
0.976	7	1,410
0.977	490	1,900
0.983	7	1,907
0.984	325	2,232
0.986	417	2,649
0.987	5,305	7,954
0.989	10	7,964

Spread0.001Mid0.929

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.929	30	30
0.928	449	479
0.927	284	764
0.926	71	835
0.925	60	894
0.924	84	979
0.923	84	1,063
0.922	284	1,348
0.921	74	1,422
0.920	84	1,507
0.919	114	1,621
0.918	140	1,761

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
tiger555	Yes	1,638.13
0x51aece5696a7c3aAC23cEC55FF81d0FB19e7d57C-1782675365530	Yes	1,093.63
frogzu	Yes	538.57
TimeTraveler	Yes	459.9
TheReader	Yes	149.21
Franjooo	Yes	147.06
planktonXD	Yes	143.31
9df	Yes	130
LornaPredicts	Yes	100.7
Biver52	Yes	100
cautegena	Yes	84.2
0x5853…144d	Yes	83.54
smye100	Yes	67.24
probability	Yes	50.92
0x21D945F29C63042867b66Db60713758a7eBDC423-1782055881766	Yes	40.95
0xb651…2089	Yes	30
xcs666	Yes	25
Kevev11	Yes	18.75
Leonslv	Yes	17.65
0x09d2808f2bb35f98CEE9D106997b5F04A910A3aC-1758807239307	Yes	14.9

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
09:51:50	BUY	No	0.93	80	$74.40
07:14:32	BUY	No	0.929	4	$3.88
12:38:12	BUY	No	0.9286691667	120	$111.44
21:37:59	BUY	No	0.9279998108	1	$1.02
21:14:53	BUY	No	0.9619826019	1	$1.03
21:01:20	BUY	No	0.928	1	$1.02
20:48:29	BUY	No	0.9279999591	1	$1.27
20:28:17	BUY	No	0.9279999606	1	$1.32
14:56:36	BUY	Yes	0.0739999343	14	$1.00
12:59:33	BUY	No	0.9270061176	85	$78.80
07:30:30	SELL	Yes	0.074	910	$67.34
07:29:51	SELL	Yes	0.074	470	$34.78
07:29:39	SELL	Yes	0.074	440	$32.56
07:19:24	SELL	Yes	0.074	20	$1.48
07:19:23	SELL	Yes	0.074	470	$34.78
07:19:12	SELL	Yes	0.074	480	$35.52
07:19:02	SELL	Yes	0.074	470	$34.78
07:18:39	SELL	Yes	0.074	460	$34.04
07:14:39	BUY	No	0.926	460	$425.96
07:14:24	BUY	No	0.926	450	$416.70
07:14:11	BUY	No	0.926	470	$435.22
07:13:33	SELL	Yes	0.074	1,004	$74.30
07:13:21	BUY	No	0.926	440	$407.43
07:13:14	SELL	Yes	0.074	1,004	$74.30
07:12:20	SELL	Yes	0.074	992	$73.41