0x58530d7cc6e478add15330c3f72778a90180144d
0x58530d7cc6e478add15330c3f72778a90180144d
- Realised P&L
- $862.39
- Volume
- $98.4k
- Markets traded
- 147
- Open portfolio
- $22.88
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded147
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration45.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)16.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran Nuke before 2027? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.050 | $7.14 | −$12.86 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · Yes | 0.064 | 0.028 | $6.53 | −$8.47 |
| Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027? · Yes | 0.239 | 0.053 | $4.47 | −$15.53 |
| Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.042 | $2.59 | −$7.41 |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.043 | $2.15 | −$7.85 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by July 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$29.38 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? · No | 0.042 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by July 31? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.30 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by August 21, 2026? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by August 7, 2026? · Yes | 0.007 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$18.99 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by August 14, 2026? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$16.08 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026? · No | 0.170 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$302.07at 0.032Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?
- +$284.23at 0.260Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in February?
- +$242.41at 0.007Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in January?
- +$186.91at 0.338Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?
- +$98.46at 0.503Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 16:29 | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | BUY | 0.032 | $5.00 |
| 09-02 16:37 | Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.1699999941 | $20.00 |
| 08-14 15:41 | Will GPT-6 be released by August 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $2.97 |
| 08-11 12:59 | Will GPT-6 be released by August 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.007 | $5.00 |
| 08-06 12:22 | Will GPT-6 be released by August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.002 | $2.00 |
| 08-05 17:18 | Will GPT-6 be released by August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.006 | $2.00 |
| 08-05 00:05 | Will GPT-6 be released by August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.0178378366 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 12:51 | Will GPT-6 be released by August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.0129999873 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 20:54 | Will GPT-6 be released by August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.004 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 15:21 | Will GPT-6 be released by August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.008 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 15:21 | Will GPT-6 be released by August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.008 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 15:21 | Will GPT-6 be released by August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.008 | $1.00 |
| 07-31 22:49 | Will GPT-6 be released by August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.008 | $2.00 |
| 07-31 14:01 | Will GPT-6 be released by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 07-31 12:42 | Will GPT-6 be released by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |