PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x58530d7cc6e478add15330c3f72778a90180144d

0x58530d7cc6e478add15330c3f72778a90180144d

Realised P&L
$862.39
Volume
$98.4k
Markets traded
147
Open portfolio
$22.88

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded147
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration45.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)16.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration31.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Iran Nuke before 2027? · Yes0.1400.050$7.14$12.86
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · Yes0.0640.028$6.53$8.47
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027? · Yes0.2390.053$4.47$15.53
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? · Yes0.1600.042$2.59$7.41
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · Yes0.2000.043$2.15$7.85
Will GPT-6 be released by July 31, 2026? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00$29.38
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? · No0.0420.000$0.00$1.00
Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by July 31? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00$0.30
Will GPT-6 be released by August 21, 2026? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00$5.00
Will GPT-6 be released by August 7, 2026? · Yes0.0070.000$0.00$18.99
Will GPT-6 be released by August 14, 2026? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00$16.08
Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026? · No0.1700.000$0.00$20.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-20 16:29Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?BUY0.032$5.00
09-02 16:37Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026?BUY0.1699999941$20.00
08-14 15:41Will GPT-6 be released by August 14, 2026?BUY0.001$2.97
08-11 12:59Will GPT-6 be released by August 14, 2026?BUY0.007$5.00
08-06 12:22Will GPT-6 be released by August 7, 2026?BUY0.002$2.00
08-05 17:18Will GPT-6 be released by August 7, 2026?BUY0.006$2.00
08-05 00:05Will GPT-6 be released by August 7, 2026?BUY0.0178378366$1.00
08-04 12:51Will GPT-6 be released by August 7, 2026?BUY0.0129999873$1.00
08-03 20:54Will GPT-6 be released by August 7, 2026?BUY0.004$1.00
08-01 15:21Will GPT-6 be released by August 7, 2026?BUY0.008$1.00
08-01 15:21Will GPT-6 be released by August 7, 2026?BUY0.008$1.00
08-01 15:21Will GPT-6 be released by August 7, 2026?BUY0.008$1.00
07-31 22:49Will GPT-6 be released by August 7, 2026?BUY0.008$2.00
07-31 14:01Will GPT-6 be released by July 31, 2026? BUY0.001$1.00
07-31 12:42Will GPT-6 be released by July 31, 2026? BUY0.001$1.00