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Traders

frogzu

0x9a12c1867021a5937af2a65b646f2daab107daf6

Realised P&L
$-974.80
Volume
$51.3k
Markets traded
106
Open portfolio
$169.94

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded106
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample45 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration22.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027? · Yes0.1390.070$37.92$37.08
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027? · Yes0.2601.000$20.00+$14.80
US defaults on debt by 2027? · Yes0.0770.029$19.20$30.80
Spain snap election called by June 30, 2026? · No0.5601.000$17.86+$7.86
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027? · Yes0.2720.140$16.51$15.54
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · Yes0.1280.043$16.34$32.71
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027? · Yes0.1310.035$14.34$38.57
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? · Yes0.1430.035$11.15$35.06
Obama federally charged before 2027? · Yes0.1250.048$9.53$15.47
Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0060.003$2.50$3.50
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? · Yes0.2350.038$1.60$8.30
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.1600.040$1.19$3.62
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4030.038$0.95$9.05
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? · Yes0.1700.025$0.76$4.34
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? · Yes0.0110.000$0.00$57.95

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-04 21:58Will Trump visit China by March 31?SELL0.544$105.78
02-10 06:46Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.008$8.00
02-10 06:46Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.009$9.00
02-10 06:46StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch?SELL0.74$52.85
02-10 06:46Based FDV above $500M one day after launch?SELL0.962$143.47
12-15 11:10Lighter Airdrop on December 29?BUY0.5699999966$43.94
12-11 06:44Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?SELL0.0677559272$11.83
12-11 06:44Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.009$9.00
12-01 20:37Will Gold close above $4000 at the end of 2025?BUY0.1365089093$168.53
11-28 20:32Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?BUY0.018$6.52
11-28 20:31Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?BUY0.1590127452$30.00
11-28 20:30Will Gold close above $4000 at the end of 2025?BUY0.1638557351$50.00
11-28 20:30Will Gold close between $3900 and $4000 at the end of 2025?BUY0.0504667202$50.00
11-27 06:37Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?BUY0.1394422289$50.00
11-27 06:36Based FDV above $500M one day after launch?BUY0.4699999982$50.00