frogzu
0x9a12c1867021a5937af2a65b646f2daab107daf6
- Realised P&L
- $-974.80
- Volume
- $51.3k
- Markets traded
- 106
- Open portfolio
- $169.94
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded106
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample45 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$90.00at 0.100US strikes Nigeria by December 31?
- +$85.78at 0.103Will Trump visit China by March 31?
- +$71.95at 0.480Based FDV above $500M one day after launch?
- +$65.90at 0.340Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by December 31, 2025?
- +$42.85at 0.140StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-04 21:58 | Will Trump visit China by March 31? | SELL | 0.544 | $105.78 |
| 02-10 06:46 | Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.008 | $8.00 |
| 02-10 06:46 | Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.009 | $9.00 |
| 02-10 06:46 | StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.74 | $52.85 |
| 02-10 06:46 | Based FDV above $500M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.962 | $143.47 |
| 12-15 11:10 | Lighter Airdrop on December 29? | BUY | 0.5699999966 | $43.94 |
| 12-11 06:44 | Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027? | SELL | 0.0677559272 | $11.83 |
| 12-11 06:44 | Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.009 | $9.00 |
| 12-01 20:37 | Will Gold close above $4000 at the end of 2025? | BUY | 0.1365089093 | $168.53 |
| 11-28 20:32 | Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | BUY | 0.018 | $6.52 |
| 11-28 20:31 | Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? | BUY | 0.1590127452 | $30.00 |
| 11-28 20:30 | Will Gold close above $4000 at the end of 2025? | BUY | 0.1638557351 | $50.00 |
| 11-28 20:30 | Will Gold close between $3900 and $4000 at the end of 2025? | BUY | 0.0504667202 | $50.00 |
| 11-27 06:37 | Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027? | BUY | 0.1394422289 | $50.00 |
| 11-27 06:36 | Based FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.4699999982 | $50.00 |