PolyBot

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Traders

0xe4a19083441c318196f87ecb7ad8994a8926b51f

0xe4a19083441c318196f87ecb7ad8994a8926b51f

Realised P&L
$142.55
Volume
$2.1k
Markets traded
17
Open portfolio
$8.36

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar6.8%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded17
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration97.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample16 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)25.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027? · Yes0.0640.053$8.36$1.64

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-14 20:15Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?BUY0.064$10.00
08-14 20:10Will Russia target Kyiv by August 10, 2026?BUY0.0088332668$10.00
07-31 19:50Counter-Strike: paiN vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty PlayoffsBUY0.0279999733$1.00
07-15 21:37Will Jake Paul announce a run for public office in 2026?SELL0.09$0.64
07-10 19:13Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1699999963$35.48
05-23 20:22Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico VerhoevenBUY0.0699999688$2.00
05-23 20:22Will Jake Paul announce a run for public office in 2026?BUY0.1399998824$1.00
05-15 03:06Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?SELL0.001$0.13
05-14 19:59Will Trump say "Soybean" during events with Xi Jinping?SELL0.73$1.87
05-14 19:59Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?SELL0.77$2.29
05-13 20:56Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?BUY0.0979999177$1.00
05-13 20:56Will Trump say "Sleepy Joe" during events with Xi Jinping?BUY0.089999919$1.00
05-13 20:55Will Trump say "Soybean" during events with Xi Jinping?BUY0.3899998479$1.00
05-13 20:54Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?BUY0.3354297694$1.00
05-13 20:49Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?BUY0.0109999892$1.00