PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

9df

0x4c9e6e62c44d82437e3d61e70603b10855bf190b

Realised P&L
$1.6k
Volume
$165.6k
Markets traded
398
Open portfolio
$809.87

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded398
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration30.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration8.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2801.000$50.00+$36.00
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1900.480$36.00+$21.75
Will Lighter reach $3 before 2027? · Yes0.3911.000$33.00+$20.11
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? · Yes0.3100.615$30.75+$15.25
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? · Yes0.3220.090$26.10$67.30
Betmoar FDV above $20M one day after launch? · No0.2700.525$25.54+$12.40
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2080.145$25.07$10.93
CDC issues Level 4 warning by December 31? · Yes0.1101.000$24.99+$22.24
Will Trump cut corporate taxes before 2027? · Yes0.0710.125$18.26+$7.91
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5000.175$17.50$32.50
Taylor Swift pregnant before 2027? · Yes0.1430.145$15.52+$0.19
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? · Yes0.0870.155$15.50+$6.75
Will Elon register any party before 2027? · Yes0.0610.106$14.66+$6.22
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027? · Yes0.1790.125$14.43$6.29
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? · No0.6200.465$13.95$4.65

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-27 07:10Stripe IPO before 2027?SELL0.06$1.86
06-27 06:04U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Brazil" before 2027?BUY0.0951666667$2.28
06-01 19:59MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?BUY0.002$1.00
04-29 21:56Anysphere (Cursor) IPO before 2027?BUY0.05$1.50
04-28 21:26U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027?BUY0.867$86.70
04-28 20:35Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2026?BUY0.24$3.00
04-28 20:12Will Elon register any party before 2027?SELL0.466$4.19
04-22 05:06Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30? SELL0.4036988333$48.44
04-07 21:47Genius FDV above $20M one day after launch?BUY0.015$3.22
03-25 09:22US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?BUY0.5$1.00
03-16 12:47Taylor Swift pregnant by March 31?SELL0.012$0.72
03-13 09:54Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of December?BUY0.0904813608$1.00
03-03 08:51Taylor Swift pregnant by March 31?BUY0.0244072464$1.68
03-02 16:47Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December?SELL0.35$1.75
02-21 19:04Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 2:00PM-2:05PM ETBUY0.92$45.88