9df
0x4c9e6e62c44d82437e3d61e70603b10855bf190b
- Realised P&L
- $1.6k
- Volume
- $163.4k
- Markets traded
- 392
- Open portfolio
- $801.16
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded392
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration35.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration9.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$248.96at 0.039Will Gold close between $4300 and $4400 at the end of 2025?
- +$186.58at 0.306Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?
- +$90.37at 0.241Canada recession before 2027?
- +$78.38at 0.004Will Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?
- +$74.61at 0.079Will Silver (SI) settle over $65 on the final trading day of June 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-27 07:10 | Stripe IPO before 2027? | SELL | 0.06 | $1.86 |
| 06-27 06:04 | U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Brazil" before 2027? | BUY | 0.0951666667 | $2.28 |
| 06-01 19:59 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 04-29 21:56 | Anysphere (Cursor) IPO before 2027? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.50 |
| 04-28 21:26 | U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027? | BUY | 0.867 | $86.70 |
| 04-28 20:35 | Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2026? | BUY | 0.24 | $3.00 |
| 04-28 20:12 | Will Elon register any party before 2027? | SELL | 0.466 | $4.19 |
| 04-22 05:06 | Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30? | SELL | 0.4036988333 | $48.44 |
| 04-07 21:47 | Genius FDV above $20M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.015 | $3.22 |
| 03-25 09:22 | US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 03-16 12:47 | Taylor Swift pregnant by March 31? | SELL | 0.012 | $0.72 |
| 03-13 09:54 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of December? | BUY | 0.0904813608 | $1.00 |
| 03-03 08:51 | Taylor Swift pregnant by March 31? | BUY | 0.0244072464 | $1.68 |
| 03-02 16:47 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December? | SELL | 0.35 | $1.75 |
| 02-21 19:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET | BUY | 0.92 | $45.88 |