PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

9df

0x4c9e6e62c44d82437e3d61e70603b10855bf190b

Realised P&L
$1.6k
Volume
$163.4k
Markets traded
392
Open portfolio
$801.16

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded392
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration35.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration9.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5000.555$55.50+$5.50
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2080.160$29.27$8.82
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? · Yes0.3220.075$21.75$71.65
Betmoar FDV above $20M one day after launch? · No0.2700.415$20.19+$7.05
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? · Yes0.1780.370$18.55+$9.62
Will Lovable be acquired before 2027? · Yes0.1960.175$18.47$2.21
Will Lighter reach $3 before 2027? · Yes0.3910.515$17.00+$4.11
Remote IPO before 2027? · Yes0.1790.160$16.02$1.91
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027? · Yes0.2000.195$14.71$0.41
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? · Yes0.3100.275$13.75$1.75
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1900.175$13.13$1.13
Rippling IPO before 2027? · Yes0.1250.115$12.53$1.09
Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027? · Yes0.1280.110$12.49$2.05
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? · No0.6200.405$12.15$6.45
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December? · Yes0.1580.055$11.81$22.20

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-27 07:10Stripe IPO before 2027?SELL0.06$1.86
06-27 06:04U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Brazil" before 2027?BUY0.0951666667$2.28
06-01 19:59MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?BUY0.002$1.00
04-29 21:56Anysphere (Cursor) IPO before 2027?BUY0.05$1.50
04-28 21:26U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027?BUY0.867$86.70
04-28 20:35Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2026?BUY0.24$3.00
04-28 20:12Will Elon register any party before 2027?SELL0.466$4.19
04-22 05:06Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30? SELL0.4036988333$48.44
04-07 21:47Genius FDV above $20M one day after launch?BUY0.015$3.22
03-25 09:22US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?BUY0.5$1.00
03-16 12:47Taylor Swift pregnant by March 31?SELL0.012$0.72
03-13 09:54Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of December?BUY0.0904813608$1.00
03-03 08:51Taylor Swift pregnant by March 31?BUY0.0244072464$1.68
03-02 16:47Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December?SELL0.35$1.75
02-21 19:04Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 2:00PM-2:05PM ETBUY0.92$45.88