PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0x21D945F29C63042867b66Db60713758a7eBDC423-1782055881766

0x21d945f29c63042867b66db60713758a7ebdc423

Realised P&L
$-26.31
Volume
$1.8k
Markets traded
40
Open portfolio
$19.09

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded40
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration47.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample14 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)85.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration34.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? · No0.7000.915$6.54+$1.54
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31? · Yes0.0930.075$4.02$0.98
Will BRICS add a new member in 2026? · Yes0.2500.140$2.80$2.20
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027? · Yes0.0730.053$2.19$0.81
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0310.028$0.89$0.11
Iran Nuke before 2027? · Yes0.0540.048$0.88$0.12
Will a country leave BRICS in 2026? · Yes0.0940.059$0.62$0.38
Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0430.025$0.57$0.43
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · Yes0.1200.065$0.54$0.46
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.2500.009$0.03$0.97
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.2470.000$0.00$5.00
Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 2, 2026? · Yes0.0180.000$0.00$1.00
Will Houthis successfully target shipping on July 27, 2026? · Yes0.2200.000$0.00$1.00
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 12, 2026? · Yes0.1120.000$0.00$1.00
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-09 15:05Will Iran target a Arab country on August 12, 2026?BUY0.1122123644$1.00
08-07 17:05Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.0309999705$1.00
08-05 10:47Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 3, 2026?BUY0.02$1.00
08-04 17:42Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 6, 2026?BUY0.08$1.00
08-04 17:41Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 2, 2026?BUY0.017619593$1.00
07-25 14:49Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?BUY0.699999972$5.00
07-25 14:46Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?BUY0.0732673058$3.00
07-25 14:36Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?BUY0.0931758041$5.00
07-25 14:31Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?BUY0.25$1.00
07-25 14:26Will a country leave BRICS in 2026?BUY0.0939999225$1.00
07-25 14:25Will BRICS add a new member in 2026?BUY0.25$5.00
07-25 14:25Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0429999606$1.00
07-25 13:50Iran Nuke before 2027?BUY0.0539999504$1.00
07-25 13:49Will Houthis successfully target shipping on July 27, 2026?BUY0.2199998548$1.00
07-25 13:45Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 22?BUY0.05$1.00