tiger555
0xd6000a815572e5cbbe2c743bb6b716aa3763b66e
- Realised P&L
- $-4.1k
- Volume
- $44.61M
- Markets traded
- 483
- Open portfolio
- $539.93
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded483
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.3kat 0.161Iran leadership change by December 31?
- +$1.8kat 0.090Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
- +$966.59at 0.627US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
- +$868.25at 0.004Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
- +$755.63at 0.161Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-12 09:53 | Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0042577681 | $52.68 |
| 10-12 09:53 | Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027? | SELL | 0.0289846755 | $54.23 |
| 09-24 08:34 | Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027? | SELL | 0.0347914806 | $78.29 |
| 09-24 08:34 | Will Candace Owens announce a presidential run before 2027? | SELL | 0.0213313838 | $61.42 |
| 09-24 08:34 | Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.001 | $41.88 |
| 09-24 08:33 | Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027? | SELL | 0.025533871 | $33.49 |
| 09-24 08:33 | Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.007 | $55.08 |
| 09-24 08:33 | Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31? | SELL | 0.006133237 | $26.09 |
| 09-24 08:33 | US takes Panama Canal before 2027? | SELL | 0.0124737211 | $30.63 |
| 09-22 08:14 | Will Mark Cuban announce a Presidential run before 2027? | SELL | 0.006 | $0.01 |
| 09-22 06:30 | Will Mark Cuban announce a Presidential run before 2027? | SELL | 0.049489561 | $218.36 |
| 09-14 03:08 | Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2026 World Series? | SELL | 0.0013477053 | $10.18 |
| 09-08 02:32 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.2739907316 | $72.13 |
| 09-08 02:30 | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | SELL | 0.04 | $70.33 |
| 09-08 02:15 | Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | SELL | 0.13 | $81.24 |