PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

tiger555

0xd6000a815572e5cbbe2c743bb6b716aa3763b66e

Realised P&L
$-4.1k
Volume
$44.61M
Markets traded
483
Open portfolio
$539.93

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded483
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration25.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene announce a presidential run before 2027? · Yes0.1080.045$139.08−$195.02
Will inflation reach more than 10% in 2026? · Yes0.0380.024$120.53−$75.25
Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027? · Yes0.0460.018$80.03−$124.12
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.5% or higher before 2027? · Yes0.0310.024$38.05−$12.65
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0050.001$25.35−$238.83
Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0070.002$23.70−$90.20
Will Steve Bannon announce a presidential run before 2027? · Yes0.0990.029$22.87−$54.02
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0050.001$22.54−$226.19
Will Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0060.001$14.68−$160.32
Will Laurent Wauquiez win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0020.001$11.92−$44.33
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0040.001$11.90−$82.45
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0050.001$11.27−$110.14
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0060.001$9.09−$94.33
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0050.001$8.93−$79.50
Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.0090.000$0.00−$116.11

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-12 09:53Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.0042577681$52.68
10-12 09:53Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?SELL0.0289846755$54.23
09-24 08:34Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027?SELL0.0347914806$78.29
09-24 08:34Will Candace Owens announce a presidential run before 2027?SELL0.0213313838$61.42
09-24 08:34Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.001$41.88
09-24 08:33Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027?SELL0.025533871$33.49
09-24 08:33Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.007$55.08
09-24 08:33Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?SELL0.006133237$26.09
09-24 08:33US takes Panama Canal before 2027?SELL0.0124737211$30.63
09-22 08:14Will Mark Cuban announce a Presidential run before 2027?SELL0.006$0.01
09-22 06:30Will Mark Cuban announce a Presidential run before 2027?SELL0.049489561$218.36
09-14 03:08Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2026 World Series?SELL0.0013477053$10.18
09-08 02:32Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.2739907316$72.13
09-08 02:30Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?SELL0.04$70.33
09-08 02:15Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?SELL0.13$81.24