tiger555
0xd6000a815572e5cbbe2c743bb6b716aa3763b66e
- Realised P&L
- $-3.9k
- Volume
- $44.67M
- Markets traded
- 483
- Open portfolio
- $2.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded483
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration10.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.7kat 0.155Iran leadership change by December 31?
- +$1.8kat 0.090Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
- +$966.59at 0.627US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
- +$868.25at 0.004Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
- +$755.63at 0.161Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 03:08 | Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2026 World Series? | SELL | 0.0013477053 | $10.18 |
| 09-08 02:32 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.2739907316 | $72.13 |
| 09-08 02:30 | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | SELL | 0.04 | $70.33 |
| 09-08 02:15 | Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | SELL | 0.13 | $81.24 |
| 09-08 02:15 | Will the Las Vegas Raiders win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SELL | 0.003 | $73.47 |
| 09-08 01:55 | Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.0035445044 | $66.19 |
| 09-08 01:54 | Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 World Series? | SELL | 0.0585687237 | $75.85 |
| 09-08 01:54 | Iran Nuke before 2027? | SELL | 0.0424795527 | $77.91 |
| 09-08 01:54 | Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 World Series? | SELL | 0.0513102718 | $83.78 |
| 09-08 01:54 | Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027? | SELL | 0.0846816182 | $79.86 |
| 09-08 01:54 | Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0243157935 | $76.50 |
| 09-08 01:54 | China x Japan military clash before 2027? | SELL | 0.06 | $89.25 |
| 09-08 01:52 | Will the New York Jets win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SELL | 0.005 | $96.43 |
| 09-08 01:52 | China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | SELL | 0.0697280837 | $100.51 |
| 09-08 01:52 | Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2026 World Series? | SELL | 0.0180243431 | $97.74 |