PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

tiger555

0xd6000a815572e5cbbe2c743bb6b716aa3763b66e

Realised P&L
$-3.9k
Volume
$44.67M
Markets traded
483
Open portfolio
$2.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded483
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration10.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Mark Cuban announce a Presidential run before 2027? · Yes0.0950.055$242.80$175.64
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene announce a presidential run before 2027? · Yes0.1080.065$216.17$143.33
Will Narendra Modi win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.0170.013$190.85$61.94
Will inflation reach more than 10% in 2026? · Yes0.0380.029$172.25$58.45
Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027? · Yes0.1380.075$169.26$142.27
Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0250.013$167.02$146.05
Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.0320.021$114.54$53.86
Will Candace Owens announce a presidential run before 2027? · Yes0.0850.037$107.97$135.54
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027? · Yes0.0700.053$99.16$32.92
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? · Yes0.0570.018$83.91$172.75
Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027? · Yes0.0460.015$83.34$171.78
US takes Panama Canal before 2027? · Yes0.0620.034$82.25$70.38
Will Steve Bannon announce a presidential run before 2027? · Yes0.0990.043$80.26$104.87
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.5% or higher before 2027? · Yes0.0310.025$73.25$20.37
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027? · Yes0.1170.055$72.15$80.98

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-14 03:08Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2026 World Series?SELL0.0013477053$10.18
09-08 02:32Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.2739907316$72.13
09-08 02:30Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?SELL0.04$70.33
09-08 02:15Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?SELL0.13$81.24
09-08 02:15Will the Las Vegas Raiders win the 2027 NFL league championship?SELL0.003$73.47
09-08 01:55Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.0035445044$66.19
09-08 01:54Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 World Series?SELL0.0585687237$75.85
09-08 01:54Iran Nuke before 2027?SELL0.0424795527$77.91
09-08 01:54Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 World Series?SELL0.0513102718$83.78
09-08 01:54Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?SELL0.0846816182$79.86
09-08 01:54Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?SELL0.0243157935$76.50
09-08 01:54China x Japan military clash before 2027?SELL0.06$89.25
09-08 01:52Will the New York Jets win the 2027 NFL league championship?SELL0.005$96.43
09-08 01:52China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?SELL0.0697280837$100.51
09-08 01:52Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2026 World Series?SELL0.0180243431$97.74