Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2026-12-31

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.179. up 0.133 over the period, from 0.047. Range 0.047 to 0.179. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.185	29	29
0.191	300	329
0.193	200	529
0.199	500	1,029
0.200	1,500	2,529
0.209	10	2,539
0.210	20	2,559
0.213	10	2,569
0.214	45	2,614
0.215	50	2,664
0.216	300	2,964
0.217	283	3,246

Spread0.011Mid0.179

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.174	74	74
0.164	294	368
0.162	92	459
0.153	220	679
0.152	4,325	5,004
0.148	3,000	8,004
0.140	1,000	9,004
0.138	2,222	11,226
0.120	200	11,426
0.116	2,700	14,126
0.115	4,200	18,326
0.113	32,717	51,043

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.826	74	74
0.836	294	368
0.838	92	459
0.847	220	679
0.848	4,325	5,004
0.852	3,000	8,004
0.860	1,000	9,004
0.862	2,222	11,226
0.880	200	11,426
0.884	2,700	14,126
0.885	4,200	18,326
0.887	32,717	51,043

Spread0.011Mid0.821

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.815	29	29
0.809	300	329
0.807	200	529
0.801	500	1,029
0.800	1,500	2,529
0.791	10	2,539
0.790	20	2,559
0.787	10	2,569
0.786	45	2,614
0.785	50	2,664
0.784	300	2,964
0.783	283	3,246

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
ethBELIVER	Yes	18,276.17
Neogenesis	Yes	10,077.54
notssf3	Yes	6,760.92
HolyMoses7	Yes	4,941.21
simpleman	Yes	3,586.12
perfectnostalgia	Yes	2,962.92
imyourexitliquidity	Yes	1,500
AMATEUR	Yes	1,260.38
SheltonDoubter	Yes	1,028.09
Deadheadbucky	Yes	957.79
electionplayer	Yes	921.72
GingerMcKenna	Yes	883.25
melonmanm	Yes	481.62
Henry.0	Yes	444.9
godson02	Yes	428
0xB16B00B5	Yes	372.05
0x4b80C140cb0dA1AD22E0845ED9a18a238e9688c6-1780253829230	Yes	366.09
LornaPredicts	Yes	333.81
bdr2	Yes	263.65
Haradwaith	Yes	250.04

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
19:26:42	BUY	Yes	0.185	91	$16.87
19:26:39	BUY	Yes	0.185	380	$70.30
19:18:57	BUY	Yes	0.1760195022	1,028	$180.96
18:40:55	SELL	No	0.834	60	$50.33
18:40:55	BUY	Yes	0.166	48	$7.97
18:40:52	BUY	Yes	0.166	200	$33.20
16:32:09	BUY	Yes	0.176	30	$5.28
15:40:54	BUY	Yes	0.1768496667	120	$21.22
15:34:54	BUY	No	0.8289999992	1	$1.00
15:26:54	BUY	Yes	0.171	29	$4.96
15:24:24	BUY	No	0.858	2	$2.00
14:32:31	SELL	No	0.852	30	$25.56
14:32:31	SELL	No	0.848	33	$27.65
14:32:31	BUY	No	0.836	20	$16.67
14:32:31	BUY	No	0.836	40	$33.44
13:34:34	BUY	Yes	0.1698	150	$25.47
13:08:34	BUY	Yes	0.169092446	278	$47.01
11:45:18	BUY	Yes	0.1359999944	13	$1.76
11:45:18	SELL	No	0.866	17	$14.72
11:39:27	BUY	No	0.8739999911	13	$11.18
11:39:13	BUY	No	0.8640175439	17	$14.28
11:39:13	BUY	No	0.875	16	$13.83
11:39:13	BUY	No	0.876	16	$13.84
11:39:13	BUY	No	0.84	10	$8.40
11:39:13	BUY	No	0.875	5	$4.38