Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2026-12-31

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.61. up 0.34 over the period, from 0.27. Range 0.25 to 0.69. 168 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.62	1,023	1,023
0.63	1,200	2,223
0.64	1,740	3,963
0.65	246	4,209
0.66	499	4,708
0.67	4,984	9,692
0.68	880	10,572
0.69	715	11,287
0.70	1,827	13,113
0.74	100	13,213
0.75	500	13,713
0.76	414	14,128

Spread0.01Mid0.61

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.61	303	303
0.60	600	903
0.59	1,202	2,106
0.53	482	2,587
0.51	1,000	3,587
0.44	1,500	5,087
0.42	16	5,103
0.41	100	5,203
0.40	137	5,340
0.39	100	5,440
0.38	40	5,480
0.37	5	5,485

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.39	303	303
0.40	600	903
0.41	1,202	2,106
0.47	482	2,587
0.49	1,000	3,587
0.56	1,500	5,087
0.58	16	5,103
0.59	100	5,203
0.60	137	5,340
0.61	100	5,440
0.62	40	5,480
0.63	5	5,485

Spread0.01Mid0.39

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.38	1,023	1,023
0.37	1,200	2,223
0.36	1,740	3,963
0.35	246	4,209
0.34	499	4,708
0.33	4,984	9,692
0.32	880	10,572
0.31	715	11,287
0.30	1,827	13,113
0.26	100	13,213
0.25	500	13,713
0.24	414	14,128

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
simpleman	Yes	9,638.74
Neogenesis	Yes	7,176.66
GoldmanSachs	Yes	4,852
notssf3	Yes	4,696.41
perfectnostalgia	Yes	2,985.15
x26	Yes	2,937.27
Tenebrus7	Yes	2,499.97
acmzsk	Yes	2,328.04
Beoowww	Yes	1,481.32
imyourexitliquidity	Yes	962
tinman2	Yes	924.12
Deadheadbucky	Yes	847.49
electionplayer	Yes	756.79
podairpod	Yes	684.16
BeneGesseritVoice	Yes	665.1
Elias.Thornwell	Yes	366.65
mehanizator	Yes	351.78
05005	Yes	299
BobbyBakedBeans	Yes	269.82
LornaPredicts	Yes	213.01

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
20:15:43	BUY	Yes	0.6199999752	15	$9.00
17:02:00	BUY	No	0.3899999997	603	$235.00
17:00:33	BUY	No	0.38	20	$7.60
16:55:51	BUY	No	0.37	20	$7.40
15:57:42	BUY	No	0.36	228	$82.11
15:25:03	BUY	Yes	0.649999805	2	$1.00
14:57:16	BUY	No	0.36	4	$1.44
14:57:13	BUY	No	0.36	16	$5.76
14:56:58	SELL	No	0.35	11	$3.85
14:56:55	BUY	No	0.35	5	$1.75
14:56:55	BUY	No	0.34	37	$12.66
14:56:54	BUY	No	0.3399999984	49	$16.67
14:56:52	BUY	No	0.3399999073	3	$1.10
14:56:52	BUY	No	0.34	2,100	$714.00
14:32:33	SELL	Yes	0.66	0	$0.02
14:32:31	BUY	Yes	0.66	269	$177.22
14:32:31	SELL	No	0.33	71	$23.57
13:35:52	BUY	No	0.36	5	$1.80
13:35:52	BUY	No	0.35	40	$13.90
13:35:51	BUY	No	0.3499999853	10	$3.56
13:35:49	BUY	No	0.35642325	400	$142.57
13:08:33	BUY	No	0.35	10	$3.50
13:08:33	BUY	No	0.35	12	$4.20
13:08:33	BUY	No	0.35	8	$2.80
13:08:33	BUY	No	0.3401234568	12	$4.13