PolyBot

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Traders

S55

0x712433f69c169ebaaa67ce13f3f66f54575e70c1

Realised P&L
$58.0k
Volume
$1.67M
Markets traded
469
Open portfolio
$14.0k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.5%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded469
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration29.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration44.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US recession by end of 2026? · No0.7530.905$6.2k+$1.0k
Will Ethereum reach $7,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9480.980$1.7k+$56.03
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.7080.835$1.7k+$255.00
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9130.972$1.2k+$73.87
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.6470.485$969.99$323.33
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027? · No0.8040.963$773.21+$127.23
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? · No0.9100.968$483.75+$28.75
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? · No0.8700.875$437.50+$2.50
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? · Yes0.2880.315$315.00+$27.29
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026? · Yes0.3360.185$157.25$128.75
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.2290.004$6.49$365.50
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.1180.004$1.96$55.92
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026? · No0.7010.000$0.00$491.00
Will no one dissent the September Fed decision? · No0.6510.000$0.00$1.2k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 10:05US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?BUY0.87$435.00
09-16 19:16Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?BUY0.2877129$287.71
09-16 15:01Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.88$16.7k
09-16 12:32Will no one dissent the September Fed decision?BUY0.63$233.34
09-15 17:59Will no one dissent the September Fed decision?BUY0.64$83.20
09-15 17:59Will no one dissent the September Fed decision?BUY0.65$130.00
09-15 17:57Will no one dissent the September Fed decision?BUY0.65$6.50
09-15 15:16Will no one dissent the September Fed decision?BUY0.6774373333$203.23
09-15 15:02Will no one dissent the September Fed decision?BUY0.66877275$267.51
09-14 15:57Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.84$1.7k
09-11 12:45Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.8$1.6k
09-11 12:33Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.79$1.6k
09-11 12:30Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.3326707$2.0k
09-11 11:16Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.39$780.00
09-04 12:30Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.4495070233$283.21