S55
0x712433f69c169ebaaa67ce13f3f66f54575e70c1
- Realised P&L
- $62.6k
- Volume
- $1.76M
- Markets traded
- 485
- Open portfolio
- $20.8k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.6%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded485
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.2kat 0.787Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
- +$8.2kat 0.851Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$7.6kat 0.841Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$6.3kat 0.878No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
- +$5.7kat 0.848Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-28 18:34 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.83 | $1.7k |
| 10-28 18:03 | Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.8 | $47.95 |
| 10-28 18:02 | Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.79 | $237.00 |
| 10-28 18:02 | Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.8 | $112.00 |
| 10-28 14:57 | Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.8 | $400.00 |
| 10-23 15:51 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.92 | $4.6k |
| 10-23 13:18 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.1646751 | $82.34 |
| 10-21 22:31 | Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.91 | $728.00 |
| 10-20 16:47 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | BUY | 0.94 | $470.00 |
| 10-16 06:13 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.85 | $2.5k |
| 10-16 04:21 | Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.7190976667 | $215.73 |
| 10-16 04:21 | Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.717686 | $358.84 |
| 10-16 04:06 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.84 | $1.7k |
| 10-16 04:06 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.84 | $840.00 |
| 10-16 04:01 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.84 | $840.00 |