Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 21-September 27?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: None on this market
Ends: 2026-09-27
Resolves by: https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/6b1814d64903461b98144a6cc25eb79c
Rewards: 20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.47. up 0.22 over the period, from 0.25. Range 0.14 to 0.60. 41 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.48	7	7
0.50	241	248
0.51	35	283
0.52	16	299
0.60	40	339
0.61	200	539
0.63	200	739
0.68	195	934
0.69	342	1,276
0.74	80	1,356
0.93	400	1,756
0.94	24	1,780

Spread0.01Mid0.47

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.47	60	60
0.46	83	143
0.45	136	279
0.44	9	288
0.43	40	328
0.42	8	336
0.41	11	347
0.30	40	387
0.03	12	399
0.02	65	464
0.01	130	594

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.53	60	60
0.54	83	143
0.55	136	279
0.56	9	288
0.57	40	328
0.58	8	336
0.59	11	347
0.70	40	387
0.97	12	399
0.98	65	464
0.99	130	594

Spread0.01Mid0.53

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.52	7	7
0.50	241	248
0.49	35	283
0.48	16	299
0.40	40	339
0.39	200	539
0.37	200	739
0.32	195	934
0.31	342	1,276
0.26	80	1,356
0.07	400	1,756
0.06	24	1,780

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
dpnd	Yes	342
AJSV	Yes	28.51
shiifoo	Yes	20
BhriguSamhita	Yes	8
Respire	Yes	4
WeRDoomed	Yes	3.7
Haradwaith	No	120
boofa	No	40
gabriellelanger	No	27.78
0xa5ef…2966	No	26.21
pootytherewardfarmer	No	22
RewardsProduction	No	20
2B9S	No	20
pmqianbaolaile	No	20
Miaomi666	No	20
HE110W0R1D	No	20
20test	No	20
pmmmmmmmmmmmmmm	No	20
lolzzzlol	No	18.27
ZhouCD	No	12

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
10:15:53	SELL	No	0.51	0	$0.04
09:28:00	BUY	Yes	0.4699999239	5	$2.47
21:51:56	SELL	No	0.33	0	$0.11
21:51:47	BUY	No	0.5899996741	2	$1.05
21:50:52	SELL	No	0.34	1	$0.24
21:50:43	BUY	No	0.5818940983	4	$2.29
21:50:22	BUY	No	0.4799999821	18	$8.59
16:54:56	SELL	Yes	0.47	2	$0.85
12:13:31	BUY	No	0.6	5	$3.00
12:13:25	BUY	No	0.6	14	$8.37
10:54:31	BUY	No	0.67	5	$3.35
08:47:20	BUY	Yes	0.2740935673	342	$93.74
08:19:23	SELL	No	0.73	4	$2.70
03:28:23	BUY	Yes	0.2699999784	4	$1.00
03:22:05	BUY	Yes	0.25	8	$2.00
03:19:31	BUY	Yes	0.25	4	$1.00
00:48:44	BUY	Yes	0.25	20	$5.00