PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Will 13-14 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-12-31

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.004. down 0.006 over the period, from 0.011. Range 0.004 to 0.013. 168 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.006102102
0.008200302
0.00918320
0.01015335
0.01131366
0.022100466
0.023427893
0.03350943
0.03425968
0.049941,062
0.050521,114
0.104501,164

Spread0.003Mid0.005

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.003184184
0.0021,7101,893
0.00114,27116,164

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.997184184
0.9981,7101,893
0.99914,27116,164

Spread0.003Mid0.996

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.994102102
0.992200302
0.99118320
0.99015335
0.98931366
0.978100466
0.977427893
0.96750943
0.96625968
0.951941,062
0.950521,114
0.896501,164

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
0x51dE66B7f3d10EceB99aaB57622cA850655e9E4A-1779581016815Yes2,074.58
0x98D7C72B655Cf8B1B28ae91747A1a281fa8E33ab-1772309565651Yes194
AJSVYes138.32
LornaPredictsYes132.08
61sfdsYes106.57
CodyAnderson4920Yes106
xiaodouziYes100
icedoutpenguinYes100
613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.Yes100
0x56a8…eea2Yes92.72
NorthLuopanYes85
GNYTYes78.54
kaitemoYes76.1
cry.eth2Yes74.16
jennylulu2016Yes62
dumperYes60
orin40Yes59.73
wrongandstupidYes53.2
gramirotYes50.5
whalesYes50.2

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
22:28:15BUYNo0.9975$4.99
14:40:33BUYNo0.99710$9.97
03:00:50BUYNo0.99710$9.97
03:00:50BUYNo0.99720$19.94
03:00:50BUYNo0.99710$9.97
02:59:15BUYNo0.99710$9.97
22:51:12BUYNo0.9975$4.99
11:10:18SELLYes0.0031$0.00
04:15:03BUYNo0.9975$4.99
23:15:15BUYNo0.996999999920$20.26
23:15:11BUYNo0.99710$9.97
18:58:40BUYNo0.99740$39.88
18:58:40BUYNo0.9976$6.40
18:58:39BUYNo0.99674240$39.87
03:12:49BUYNo0.9975$4.99
02:21:01BUYNo0.9976$6.43
02:20:51BUYNo0.9973$3.22
04:05:31BUYNo0.9955$4.97
18:10:01SELLYes0.00830003100$0.83
14:54:37BUYYes0.0307503075163$5.00
21:36:10SELLYes0.0073428384244$1.79
03:37:50SELLNo0.969948748584$81.38
09:50:41BUYNo0.9859$8.87
16:29:22BUYNo0.98499999882$80.73
16:29:22BUYNo0.9855$4.92