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Traders

GNYT

0x422e93063d2585f56b54880e0929a5fd418607e2

Realised P&L
$208.78
Volume
$105.8k
Markets traded
159
Open portfolio
$0.06

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded159
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration65.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will 13-14 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? · Yes0.0130.001$0.04$0.96
Will 15-16 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? · Yes0.0240.001$0.02$0.98
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00$2.76
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? · No0.5200.000$0.00$52.00
Spread: Pistons (-6.5) · Pistons0.4400.000$0.00$1.00
Sharks vs. Blackhawks · Sharks0.5100.000$0.00$1.00
Will fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the United States in February 2026? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00$1.00
Nuggets vs. Pistons · Nuggets0.3800.000$0.00$1.00
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-08-19? · No0.2700.000$0.00$27.00
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19? · No0.1100.000$0.00$16.50
Will fewer than 70 tornadoes occur in the United States in March 2026? · Yes0.0190.000$0.00$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 7°C on March 18? · Yes0.0060.000$0.00$1.00
Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after March 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$1.00
Hornets vs. Mavericks · Mavericks0.4300.000$0.00$1.00
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-13 06:47Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 13?BUY0.996$133.00
04-27 01:58Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on April 27?BUY0.996999997$132.94
04-21 02:32Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 21?BUY0.995999996$131.92
04-15 00:29Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?BUY0.997$10.00
04-07 09:06Monza: Maks Kasnikowski vs Luca Van AsscheBUY0.9$4.97
04-07 09:06Will Melbourne City FC win on 2026-04-07?BUY0.6899999425$3.00
04-05 03:26Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 5?BUY0.997$120.58
04-02 00:3476ers vs. WizardsBUY0.991999982$14.99
04-01 07:41Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?BUY0.9299999888$5.00
03-27 11:12Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 27?BUY0.999$119.00
03-19 00:53Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at >$450 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 16 – Mar 20?BUY0.997$3.00
03-17 01:13Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on March 17?BUY0.002$12.28
03-17 01:11Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 7°C on March 18?BUY0.006$1.00
03-17 01:09Will fewer than 70 tornadoes occur in the United States in March 2026?BUY0.0193300929$1.00
03-15 09:17US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?BUY0.8599998762$5.00
Trader GNYT · PolyBot Pro