0x98D7C72B655Cf8B1B28ae91747A1a281fa8E33ab-1772309565651
0x98d7c72b655cf8b1b28ae91747a1a281fa8e33ab
- Realised P&L
- $-28.72
- Volume
- $743.99
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $0.10
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will 13-14 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? · Yes | 0.006 | 0.001 | $0.10 | −$1.07 |
| Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026? · Yes | 0.015 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.50 |
| Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026? · Yes | 0.006 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.20 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? · No | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by February 28? · No | 0.099 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.95 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-28 21:15 | Will 13-14 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? | BUY | 0.006 | $0.67 |
| 02-28 21:03 | Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by February 28? | BUY | 0.099 | $4.95 |
| 02-28 20:59 | Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.006 | $0.54 |
| 02-28 20:59 | Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.015 | $1.35 |
| 02-28 20:52 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | BUY | 0.1 | $20.00 |