PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Will there be between 20 and 34 tornadoes in the US in October 2026?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-11-11
Rewards
50 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.153. down 0.222 over the period, from 0.375. Range 0.021 to 0.375. 170 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.1792020
0.180233253
0.20058310
0.24213323
0.42740363
0.4285368
0.51020388
0.51195483
0.512100583
0.646282865
0.647100965
0.64820985

Spread0.049Mid0.154

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.1305050
0.1283080
0.12453133
0.1018141
0.100166307
0.01160367
0.0037374
0.00210384
0.0019951,379

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.8705050
0.8723080
0.87653133
0.8998141
0.900166307
0.98960367
0.9977374
0.99810384
0.9999951,379

Spread0.049Mid0.845

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.8212020
0.820233253
0.80058310
0.75813323
0.57340363
0.5725368
0.49020388
0.48995483
0.488100583
0.354282865
0.353100965
0.35220985

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
sunnynotbunnyYes90.91
0xf51b…ca1bYes65
AJSVYes57.67
tradetosurvive1Yes23.57
0x5F3ee9c40Be255D1C18cA38bf4Ab94b564C75337-1776862065527Yes20
2B9SYes20
gjkioprenuYes20
flexer78Yes11.14
bjproloYes10
GuyFromTinderYes7.74
HenriIVYes7.74
g6j3zpru8au4jci41u4m4hk4Yes1.43
0xa5ef…2966No253.51
neverhackmeNo40
cigarettesNo20
ramc2005No10
lolzzzlolNo9.66
gfdgfvfvssddNo2

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
08:44:09SELLYes0.13320$2.66
06:16:54SELLNo0.82420$16.48
06:16:53BUYYes0.175999999891$16.00
02:11:48BUYYes0.17825$4.45
20:08:10BUYNo0.848$6.50
20:07:42BUYNo0.888$6.81
20:07:18BUYNo0.889$7.57
20:07:18BUYNo0.888$6.81
18:21:49BUYNo0.82620$16.52
18:19:22BUYNo0.791114$90.17
18:14:19BUYNo0.7916$4.75
18:14:18BUYNo0.79120$15.82
14:29:51SELLNo0.7942$33.18
09:44:10SELLYes0.17825$4.45
07:54:40BUYYes0.11199999721$2.40
07:54:39BUYYes0.10326$2.68
07:43:37BUYYes0.1110$1.10
07:43:36BUYYes0.10925$2.72
22:48:17BUYYes0.0157$0.10
12:57:06SELLYes0.01211$0.13
12:56:19SELLYes0.0034$0.01
12:56:13BUYNo0.99113333336$5.95
12:56:12BUYNo0.9865$4.93
12:52:07BUYNo0.98613$12.62
18:34:51BUYNo0.72519$13.78