gjkioprenu
0x8f2b7d7d3b250e09008d5c31bdd71b4020908793
- Realised P&L
- $-50.72
- Volume
- $2.9k
- Markets traded
- 78
- Open portfolio
- $30.62
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded78
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration49.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)10.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.46at 0.121Will PT win the most seats in the 2027 Colima Congress election?
- +$0.76at 0.570Will the Reserve Bank of India increase the policy repo rate by 25 bps at the December meeting?
- +$0.60at 0.350Will Juventus qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Europa League?
- +$0.40at 0.140Will PRI win the most seats in the 2027 Jalisco Congress election?
- +$0.40at 0.160Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-22 House election by 5%-10%?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 09:03 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-29 House election by 60% or more? | SELL | 0.012 | $0.24 |
| 10-10 07:04 | Will Legalise Cannabis win the third-most seats in the next New South Wales state election? | SELL | 0.07 | $1.40 |
| 10-10 06:45 | Will PVEM win the most seats in the 2027 Hidalgo Congress election? | SELL | 0.26 | $5.20 |
| 10-10 04:52 | Next DeepSeek Pro released by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.14 | $2.10 |
| 10-09 23:27 | Will Kansas be the closest Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.147 | $2.94 |
| 10-09 21:18 | Will PVEM win the most seats in the 2027 Hidalgo Congress election? | SELL | 0.24 | $4.80 |
| 10-09 16:24 | Netflix (NFLX) Q3 operating margin <30%? | SELL | 0.06 | $1.20 |
| 10-09 16:19 | Will Lokomotiv Sofia be relegated from the 2026-27 efbet Liga (Bulgaria)? | SELL | 0.178 | $3.56 |
| 10-09 09:41 | Will Andrei Vasilevskiy win the 2026-27 Ted Lindsay Award? | SELL | 0.181 | $3.62 |
| 10-09 09:02 | Will Andrei Vasilevskiy win the 2026-27 Ted Lindsay Award? | SELL | 0.182 | $3.59 |
| 10-09 05:17 | Will Republicans win the Ohio and Maine Senate seats, and Democrats win Iowa? | SELL | 0.07 | $1.34 |
| 10-09 05:12 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Wyoming gubernatorial election by 20%-25%? | SELL | 0.15 | $3.00 |
| 10-09 01:57 | Will Chantel Gibbs win the next Vernon-Lumby British Columbia Legislative Assembly election? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.36 |
| 10-09 01:55 | Will Chantel Gibbs win the next Vernon-Lumby British Columbia Legislative Assembly election? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.40 |
| 10-09 01:49 | Will Chantel Gibbs win the next Vernon-Lumby British Columbia Legislative Assembly election? | SELL | 0.08 | $0.08 |