US defaults on debt by 2027?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2026-12-31

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.026. down 0.005 over the period, from 0.031. Range 0.026 to 0.034. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.033	69	69
0.034	211	280
0.035	300	580
0.037	21	601
0.049	200	801
0.059	200	1,001
0.076	505	1,507
0.300	500	2,007
0.450	953	2,959
0.740	500	3,459
0.800	650	4,109
0.958	5	4,114

Spread0.013Mid0.027

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.020	6	6
0.019	6	12
0.017	7	19
0.009	39	57
0.008	67	124
0.007	258	382
0.006	329	711
0.005	1,068	1,779
0.004	2,914	4,693
0.003	5,148	9,841
0.002	6,015	15,856
0.001	16,999	32,855

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.980	6	6
0.981	6	12
0.983	7	19
0.991	39	57
0.992	67	124
0.993	258	382
0.994	329	711
0.995	1,068	1,779
0.996	2,914	4,693
0.997	5,148	9,841
0.998	6,015	15,856
0.999	16,999	32,855

Spread0.013Mid0.974

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.967	69	69
0.966	211	280
0.965	300	580
0.963	21	601
0.951	200	801
0.941	200	1,001
0.924	505	1,507
0.700	500	2,007
0.550	953	2,959
0.260	500	3,459
0.200	650	4,109
0.042	5	4,114

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
MrFate	Yes	952.78
Nunyabzwx	Yes	921.1
frogzu	Yes	650.92
cjalaniz123Blogs	Yes	400.13
b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.	Yes	211.02
playballs	Yes	169.68
Biver52	Yes	156.72
orin40	Yes	107.5
ansr	Yes	100
woofwoof123	Yes	100
AJSV	Yes	88.12
rpwnzl	Yes	87.33
barooo001	Yes	79.04
Ahj77	Yes	50.04
BSS37	Yes	36.88
LornaPredicts	Yes	34
25oodksmsss09	Yes	27.04
Ardtysrt01	Yes	26.61
Gorea	Yes	24.7
MM-BD	Yes	20

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
02:28:13	BUY	No	0.979	20	$19.58
02:27:54	BUY	No	0.979	40	$39.16
02:27:39	BUY	No	0.979	40	$39.16
16:21:12	BUY	No	0.979	40	$39.16
16:20:58	BUY	No	0.979	6	$6.17
16:20:55	BUY	No	0.978	40	$39.12
16:20:51	BUY	No	0.977	30	$29.31
12:17:12	BUY	No	0.9689999725	23	$21.88
02:55:55	BUY	Yes	0.032569675	921	$30.00
08:54:34	SELL	Yes	0.008	18	$0.14
06:22:43	BUY	No	0.982	280	$274.96
06:22:34	BUY	No	0.981	42	$41.36
06:21:25	BUY	No	0.98	10	$9.80
06:21:21	BUY	No	0.98	40	$39.20
06:21:06	BUY	No	0.979	11	$11.08
06:22:30	BUY	No	0.9789999883	1	$1.00
06:22:27	SELL	No	0.967	11	$11.06
18:28:25	SELL	No	0.967	15	$14.85
05:04:57	SELL	No	0.967	19	$18.37
04:32:51	SELL	No	0.9675533333	18	$17.42
15:52:01	SELL	No	0.968	19	$18.39
15:25:27	SELL	Yes	0.0203957108	29	$0.59
15:10:24	SELL	No	0.967	19	$18.37
15:03:55	SELL	No	0.967	16	$15.47
14:40:33	SELL	No	0.967	17	$16.05