Ahj77
0x330a9e1f4d05bc3ce3df4330b8576153c52d8b66
- Realised P&L
- $-15.49
- Volume
- $624.44
- Markets traded
- 35
- Open portfolio
- $37.36
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded35
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration42.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample23 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)39.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.82at 0.340US strikes Iran by March 4, 2026?
- +$3.00at 0.700Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?
- +$2.22at 0.009Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027?
- +$1.51at 0.570Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
- +$0.53at 0.882Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-20 05:51 | US strikes Iran by March 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.3399999411 | $3.00 |
| 02-13 11:29 | Will Florian Notz (GER) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: XC - Men's 10km Interval Start Free at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics? | BUY | 0.996 | $1.00 |
| 02-13 11:28 | Will Hugo Lapalus (FRA) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: XC - Men's 10km Interval Start Free at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.00 |
| 02-13 11:27 | Will Einer Hedegart (NOR) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: XC - Men's 10km Interval Start Free at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics? | BUY | 0.8099999757 | $1.00 |
| 01-20 19:03 | Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-01-20? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 01-20 19:00 | Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-01-20? | BUY | 0.9299999907 | $1.00 |
| 01-15 22:44 | Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize? | BUY | 0.8799999883 | $3.00 |
| 01-15 22:42 | Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize? | BUY | 0.8899994126 | $1.00 |
| 01-09 17:36 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | BUY | 0.1899998784 | $1.00 |
| 01-09 16:36 | Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs? | BUY | 0.2599999272 | $2.00 |
| 01-09 16:34 | Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $2.00 |
| 01-09 16:33 | US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2899999478 | $3.00 |
| 01-08 18:07 | Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027? | SELL | 0.0289800198 | $3.22 |
| 01-07 21:36 | Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31? | BUY | 0.5699999059 | $2.00 |
| 01-07 21:34 | Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |