PolyBot

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Traders

Ahj77

0x330a9e1f4d05bc3ce3df4330b8576153c52d8b66

Realised P&L
$-15.49
Volume
$624.44
Markets traded
35
Open portfolio
$37.36

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded35
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration42.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample23 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)39.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration24.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · No0.8470.961$9.07+$1.07
EU debt downgrade before 2027? · No0.7700.720$7.20$0.50
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · No0.8800.979$5.56+$0.56
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? · No0.9000.969$3.23+$0.23
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0790.105$2.67+$0.67
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No0.8500.972$2.29+$0.29
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026? · Yes0.0800.076$1.90$0.10
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.5300.425$1.60$0.40
US defaults on debt by 2027? · Yes0.0400.026$1.33$0.67
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? · Yes0.1100.036$1.31$2.69
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.1340.162$1.21+$0.21
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31? · Yes0.4000.000$0.00$1.00
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? · No0.6800.000$0.00$3.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
02-20 05:51US strikes Iran by March 4, 2026?BUY0.3399999411$3.00
02-13 11:29Will Florian Notz (GER) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: XC - Men's 10km Interval Start Free at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?BUY0.996$1.00
02-13 11:28Will Hugo Lapalus (FRA) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: XC - Men's 10km Interval Start Free at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?BUY0.999$1.00
02-13 11:27Will Einer Hedegart (NOR) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: XC - Men's 10km Interval Start Free at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?BUY0.8099999757$1.00
01-20 19:03Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-01-20?BUY0.7599999088$1.00
01-20 19:00Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-01-20?BUY0.9299999907$1.00
01-15 22:44Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?BUY0.8799999883$3.00
01-15 22:42Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?BUY0.8899994126$1.00
01-09 17:36Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?BUY0.1899998784$1.00
01-09 16:36Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?BUY0.2599999272$2.00
01-09 16:34Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?BUY0.08$2.00
01-09 16:33US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?BUY0.2899999478$3.00
01-08 18:07Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027?SELL0.0289800198$3.22
01-07 21:36Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?BUY0.5699999059$2.00
01-07 21:34Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?BUY0.6799998912$1.00