woofwoof123
0x81a9ab5e621fd04862a7a39f7626dfeed495cd93
- Realised P&L
- $-159.22
- Volume
- $5.6k
- Markets traded
- 21
- Open portfolio
- $39.55
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded21
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration47.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample18 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)27.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration93.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027? · No | 0.500 | 0.984 | $36.90 | +$18.15 |
| US defaults on debt by 2027? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.026 | $2.65 | −$47.35 |
| Will Solana reach $190 in November? · Yes | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Maduro out in 2025? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
| Trump declassifies UFO files before 2027? · No | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.55 |
| Will Solana reach $200 in November? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$43.00at 0.500US defaults on debt by 2027?
- +$21.15at 0.320Will Andrew Cuomo win Staten Island?
- +$14.54at 0.110Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?
- +$7.00at 0.930Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
- +$5.04at 0.895Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-29 20:46 | Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027? | SELL | 0.11 | $5.50 |
| 11-29 20:45 | NATO Article 5 by March 31? | SELL | 0.04 | $1.43 |
| 11-29 20:45 | Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried in 2025? | SELL | 0.0194635464 | $1.30 |
| 11-13 16:38 | Will Trump pardon Roger Ver in 2025? | SELL | 0.05 | $1.96 |
| 11-11 17:06 | Trump declassifies UFO files before 2027? | SELL | 0.75 | $5.27 |
| 11-11 17:05 | Trump declassifies UFO files before 2027? | SELL | 0.75 | $7.03 |
| 11-11 17:05 | Trump declassifies UFO files before 2027? | SELL | 0.75 | $9.38 |
| 11-11 17:05 | Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027? | SELL | 0.842 | $10.53 |
| 11-11 17:04 | Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 30? | SELL | 0.9852064089 | $55.03 |
| 11-11 17:04 | Will Trump pardon Eric Adams in 2025? | SELL | 0.06 | $3.75 |
| 11-11 17:03 | Trump declassifies UFO files before 2027? | SELL | 0.18 | $9.00 |
| 11-11 17:02 | US defaults on debt by 2027? | SELL | 0.93 | $93.00 |
| 11-09 21:34 | Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11? | SELL | 0.27 | $24.54 |
| 11-09 18:35 | Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | SELL | 0.082 | $11.52 |
| 11-09 18:35 | Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | SELL | 0.063 | $102.42 |