MM-BD
0x139c9c7db60e6f99034ce41bbfbad2db16a1a6f2
- Realised P&L
- $-87.82
- Volume
- $7.8k
- Markets traded
- 364
- Open portfolio
- $13.80
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded364
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.60at 0.066Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?
- +$13.25at 0.073Will Trump announce a Taiwan arms sales halt?
- +$10.05at 0.070Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in November?
- +$6.00at 0.400Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?
- +$5.80at 0.019Will Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-15 03:46 | Will England win on 2026-07-15? | BUY | 0.3524999656 | $4.00 |
| 07-06 23:59 | Will United States win on 2026-07-06? | BUY | 0.3799998923 | $1.20 |
| 07-06 23:59 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | SELL | 0.09 | $0.63 |
| 07-06 23:59 | Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026? | SELL | 0.11 | $0.58 |
| 07-05 01:24 | Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? | BUY | 0.539999964 | $6.00 |
| 07-03 15:48 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? | BUY | 0.8599999656 | $2.00 |
| 07-03 15:47 | Will Ghana win on 2026-07-03? | BUY | 0.1099999521 | $2.00 |
| 07-03 15:47 | Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03? | BUY | 0.4099999446 | $2.00 |
| 07-02 10:24 | Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02? | BUY | 0.4799999309 | $2.50 |
| 07-02 10:24 | Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02? | BUY | 0.4324999297 | $3.00 |
| 07-02 10:23 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-02? | BUY | 0.7474999838 | $3.00 |
| 07-01 01:24 | Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01? | BUY | 0.2599999646 | $5.00 |
| 07-01 01:23 | Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30? | BUY | 0.4099999446 | $2.00 |
| 06-28 11:45 | Will Germany win on 2026-06-29? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 06-28 11:45 | Will South Africa win on 2026-06-28? | BUY | 0.16 | $2.00 |