MrFate
0x10dc2a8bb9ade4ee723d1ca456cb25a739e997cf
- Realised P&L
- $-152.61
- Volume
- $43.5k
- Markets traded
- 33
- Open portfolio
- $25.25
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded33
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration69.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.54at 0.415Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET
- +$3.32at 0.431Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET
- +$-1.13at 0.176Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?
- +$-2.65at 0.009Will Trump deport 1,500,000-1,750,000 people?
- +$-6.22at 0.089NATO dissolves before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-20 20:18 | US defaults on debt by 2027? | SELL | 0.049 | $1.23 |
| 03-20 17:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET | BUY | 0.1399998824 | $0.99 |
| 03-20 17:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET | SELL | 0.43 | $3.90 |
| 03-20 17:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET | BUY | 0.1099999032 | $1.00 |
| 03-20 17:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET | BUY | 0.2799998432 | $0.98 |
| 03-20 17:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET | BUY | 0.0299999712 | $1.00 |
| 03-20 17:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET | BUY | 0.239999856 | $0.98 |
| 03-20 17:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET | BUY | 0.29999982 | $0.98 |
| 03-20 17:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $3.05 |
| 03-20 17:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET | BUY | 0.32 | $0.98 |
| 03-20 17:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET | BUY | 0.089999919 | $1.00 |
| 03-20 13:06 | US defaults on debt by 2027? | SELL | 0.04916975 | $3.93 |
| 03-20 13:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET | BUY | 0.02 | $1.00 |
| 03-20 12:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET | BUY | 0.0699999363 | $1.00 |
| 03-20 12:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET | BUY | 0.02 | $1.00 |