PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

MrFate

0x10dc2a8bb9ade4ee723d1ca456cb25a739e997cf

Realised P&L
$-152.61
Volume
$43.5k
Markets traded
33
Open portfolio
$25.25

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded33
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration69.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample6 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US defaults on debt by 2027? · Yes0.0350.026$25.25$7.95
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET · Up0.4000.000$0.00$1.52
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET · Down0.3000.000$0.00$8.49
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET · Up0.2700.000$0.00$40.52
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$30.00
US government shutdown Saturday? · No0.0280.000$0.00$32.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET · Up0.3100.000$0.00$3.44
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET · Up0.4100.000$0.00$1.45
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET · Up0.3680.000$0.00$1.83
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET · Down0.3470.000$0.00$2.16
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET · Down0.3000.000$0.00$4.28
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET · Up0.4580.000$0.00$1.22
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET · Up0.2740.000$0.00$13.68
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET · Up0.2790.000$0.00$11.43

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-20 20:18US defaults on debt by 2027?SELL0.049$1.23
03-20 17:41Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 1:30PM-1:45PM ETBUY0.1399998824$0.99
03-20 17:39Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 1:30PM-1:45PM ETSELL0.43$3.90
03-20 17:37Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 1:30PM-1:45PM ETBUY0.1099999032$1.00
03-20 17:27Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 1:25PM-1:30PM ETBUY0.2799998432$0.98
03-20 17:24Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 1:20PM-1:25PM ETBUY0.0299999712$1.00
03-20 17:22Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 1:20PM-1:25PM ETBUY0.239999856$0.98
03-20 17:20Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 1:20PM-1:25PM ETBUY0.29999982$0.98
03-20 17:20Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 1:15PM-1:20PM ETSELL0.99$3.05
03-20 17:17Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 1:15PM-1:20PM ETBUY0.32$0.98
03-20 17:13Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 1:10PM-1:15PM ETBUY0.089999919$1.00
03-20 13:06US defaults on debt by 2027?SELL0.04916975$3.93
03-20 13:04Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 9:00AM-9:05AM ETBUY0.02$1.00
03-20 12:59Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 8:55AM-9:00AM ETBUY0.0699999363$1.00
03-20 12:41Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 8:30AM-8:45AM ETBUY0.02$1.00