ansr
0x3275c192d8ab0e77e9d5738ca4e349e2cb822b0a
- Realised P&L
- $-12.95
- Volume
- $988.11
- Markets traded
- 16
- Open portfolio
- $29.06
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded16
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- ClearProfit concentration26.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample32 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration56.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will GameStop acquire eBay? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.075 | $16.41 | −$18.59 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No | 0.500 | 0.869 | $8.69 | +$3.69 |
| US defaults on debt by 2027? · Yes | 0.022 | 0.026 | $2.65 | +$0.45 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.131 | $1.31 | −$3.69 |
| Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advance · Australia | 0.430 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.75at 0.500US military action against Iran by Saturday?
- +$10.40at 0.150Will Russia capture Yablunivka before August?
- +$6.13at 0.620US forces enter Iran by April 30?
- +$4.60at 0.120Will Spain win the UEFA Women's Euro?
- +$4.40at 0.500US military action against Iran by Sunday?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-03 20:11 | Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.4299999931 | $10.00 |
| 05-30 09:51 | Will GameStop acquire eBay? | BUY | 0.16 | $35.00 |
| 04-02 12:10 | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | BUY | 0.6199999864 | $10.00 |
| 07-07 15:08 | Will Russia capture Yablunivka before August? | SELL | 0.67 | $13.40 |
| 07-07 15:07 | Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025? | SELL | 0.14 | $1.40 |
| 06-26 18:50 | Will Andrew Cuomo run as a non-Democrat in the general election? | SELL | 0.7 | $7.00 |
| 06-26 18:38 | Will Andrew Cuomo run as a non-Democrat in the general election? | SELL | 0.27 | $2.70 |
| 06-25 07:17 | Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July? | SELL | 0.91 | $9.10 |
| 06-23 11:37 | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July? | SELL | 0.7 | $3.50 |
| 06-21 18:37 | Major cyberattack on Iran in June? | BUY | 0.314 | $15.70 |
| 06-21 18:23 | US military action against Iran by Monday? | SELL | 0.33 | $1.65 |
| 06-21 18:07 | Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025? | BUY | 0.12 | $1.20 |
| 06-21 18:01 | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July? | BUY | 0.85 | $4.25 |
| 06-21 17:52 | Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July? | BUY | 0.9 | $9.00 |