PolyBot

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Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by October 31, 2026?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-11-01
Rewards
20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.09. down 0.26 over the period, from 0.34. Range 0.09 to 0.34. 10 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.097171
0.1061132
0.1220152
0.1720172
0.1880252
0.2124276
0.23200476
0.3247523
0.33100623
0.3420643
0.485001,143
0.525001,643

Spread0.01Mid0.08

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.084141
0.07146187
0.05331518
0.045441,062
0.031,1882,249
0.021,7193,968
0.013,0717,039

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.924141
0.93146187
0.95331518
0.965441,062
0.971,1882,249
0.981,7193,968
0.993,0717,039

Spread0.01Mid0.92

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.917171
0.9061132
0.8820152
0.8320172
0.8280252
0.7924276
0.77200476
0.6847523
0.67100623
0.6620643
0.525001,143
0.485001,643

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
HaradwaithYes240
chessplayerYes90
0x5F3ee9c40Be255D1C18cA38bf4Ab94b564C75337-1776862065527Yes90
GuyFromTinderYes70
gfdgfvfvssddYes40
Dr.PNLYes35.58
rainbowliliesYes21
Numitus1994Yes21
0x0d3dbEA9C4707F50Bc4bDd4cfcB034CfaeDcaa93-1772305407452Yes20
lolzzzlolYes20
bechamelYes20
AIbubbleYes15
pppnnYes10
karachikingNo480.58
greatbritainNo212

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
01:09:46BUYYes0.1430$4.20
01:06:48SELLYes0.1017187564$6.51
01:06:46BUYNo0.8239535561481$395.98
21:56:42BUYNo0.77140$107.80
21:30:22BUYNo0.7430$22.20
21:27:18BUYNo0.745555555672$53.68
21:25:21BUYYes0.174117647168$11.84