0x0d3dbEA9C4707F50Bc4bDd4cfcB034CfaeDcaa93-1772305407452
0x0d3dbea9c4707f50bc4bdd4cfcb034cfaedcaa93
- Realised P&L
- $-2.6k
- Volume
- $162.7k
- Markets traded
- 2,584
- Open portfolio
- $217.59
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,584
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration58.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)10.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration6.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.60at 0.830US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
- +$4.65at 0.130Will PAN win the most seats in the 2027 Morelos Congress election?
- +$2.56at 0.171Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-07 House election by 6%-9%?
- +$1.21at 0.180Will JD Vance say "Ass" during RNC Convention?
- +$1.20at 0.200Will a 6.0+ magnitude earthquake occur in Peru this month?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-13 15:26 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the first round of the 2026 Maine Senate election by 6%-9%? | SELL | 0.13 | $6.50 |
| 10-13 15:00 | Will OpenAI be the #3 AI Lab at the end of December 2026 (Style Control On)? | SELL | 0.14 | $2.66 |
| 10-13 15:00 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 RI-01 House election by 25%-30%? | SELL | 0.13 | $1.30 |
| 10-13 15:00 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NV-02 House election by 0%-3%? | SELL | 0.164 | $1.24 |
| 10-13 15:00 | Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027? | SELL | 0.039575 | $6.33 |
| 10-13 14:54 | Will Boris Rhein be the next President of Germany? | SELL | 0.15 | $0.60 |
| 10-13 14:32 | Turkey military action against Yemen by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.1 | $0.49 |
| 10-13 14:01 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-08 House election by 15%-20%? | SELL | 0.12 | $4.56 |
| 10-13 13:26 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-07 House election by 60%-65%? | SELL | 0.194 | $5.82 |
| 10-13 13:12 | Will Ofer Winter be the next Israeli Minister of Defense? | SELL | 0.18 | $0.90 |
| 10-13 13:01 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-01 House election by 0%-3%? | SELL | 0.148 | $2.96 |
| 10-13 11:48 | Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher? | SELL | 0.138 | $0.83 |
| 10-13 11:33 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-10 House election by 15%-20%? | SELL | 0.19 | $3.80 |
| 10-13 11:23 | Will there be between 0 and 5 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on October 31? | SELL | 0.11 | $2.51 |
| 10-13 10:56 | Will Anthropic be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of November 2026? | SELL | 0.19 | $2.52 |