PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x0d3dbEA9C4707F50Bc4bDd4cfcB034CfaeDcaa93-1772305407452

0x0d3dbea9c4707f50bc4bdd4cfcb034cfaedcaa93

Realised P&L
$-2.6k
Volume
$162.7k
Markets traded
2,584
Open portfolio
$217.59

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,584
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
BlockerProfit concentration58.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)10.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration6.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CT-02 House election by 20%-25%? · Yes0.2000.185$11.10−$0.90
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IN-01 House election by 25%-30%? · Yes0.1800.165$9.90−$0.90
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-14 House election by 20%-25%? · Yes0.1700.155$9.30−$0.90
Will Branislav Becík win the 2026 Nitra Region gubernatorial election? · No0.1430.069$6.82−$7.32
Will a hurricane make landfall in Mississippi by November 30, 2026? · Yes0.1320.042$6.64−$14.48
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CT-03 House election by 20%-25%? · Yes0.1700.165$6.60−$0.20
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-09 House election by 35%-40%? · Yes0.1830.164$6.54−$0.78
Will George Cardenas win the 2027 Chicago mayoral election? · Yes0.0700.035$5.52−$5.68
Will Space Exploration Technologies’ market capitalization be less than $1.50T at the end of November 2026? · Yes0.1550.032$5.12−$19.68
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Oregon gubernatorial election by 15%-18%? · Yes0.1000.032$5.11−$10.87
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TN-07 House election by 15%-20%? · Yes0.1700.125$5.00−$1.80
Will James Redgrave win the next Latrobe mayoral election? · Yes0.1600.115$4.96−$1.94
Will Donald Trump publicly praise Bryson DeChambeau by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.2000.080$4.80−$7.20
Will Houthis target Pakistan by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1700.115$4.60−$2.20
Will Alibaba (including Alibaba-ATH) have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of December 2026? · Yes0.1180.029$4.56−$14.32

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-13 15:26Will the Democratic Party candidate win the first round of the 2026 Maine Senate election by 6%-9%?SELL0.13$6.50
10-13 15:00Will OpenAI be the #3 AI Lab at the end of December 2026 (Style Control On)?SELL0.14$2.66
10-13 15:00Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 RI-01 House election by 25%-30%?SELL0.13$1.30
10-13 15:00Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NV-02 House election by 0%-3%?SELL0.164$1.24
10-13 15:00Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027?SELL0.039575$6.33
10-13 14:54Will Boris Rhein be the next President of Germany?SELL0.15$0.60
10-13 14:32Turkey military action against Yemen by December 31, 2026?SELL0.1$0.49
10-13 14:01Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-08 House election by 15%-20%?SELL0.12$4.56
10-13 13:26Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-07 House election by 60%-65%?SELL0.194$5.82
10-13 13:12Will Ofer Winter be the next Israeli Minister of Defense?SELL0.18$0.90
10-13 13:01Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-01 House election by 0%-3%?SELL0.148$2.96
10-13 11:48Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?SELL0.138$0.83
10-13 11:33Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-10 House election by 15%-20%?SELL0.19$3.80
10-13 11:23Will there be between 0 and 5 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on October 31?SELL0.11$2.51
10-13 10:56Will Anthropic be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of November 2026?SELL0.19$2.52