Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: None on this market
Ends: 2027-01-01
Rewards: 50 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.034. up 0.012 over the period, from 0.022. Range 0.022 to 0.059. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.049	30	30
0.050	145	175
0.051	66	241
0.054	50	291
0.069	20	311
0.834	25	336
0.835	42	379
0.839	50	428
0.859	20	448
0.899	50	498
0.900	200	698
0.910	20	718

Spread0.030Mid0.034

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.019	70	70
0.016	100	170
0.013	663	833
0.012	1,106	1,939
0.010	609	2,549
0.009	22	2,570
0.008	500	3,070
0.006	750	3,820
0.005	1,125	4,945
0.004	4,563	9,508
0.003	3,288	12,796
0.002	8,867	21,663

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.981	70	70
0.984	100	170
0.987	663	833
0.988	1,106	1,939
0.990	609	2,549
0.991	22	2,570
0.992	500	3,070
0.994	750	3,820
0.995	1,125	4,945
0.996	4,563	9,508
0.997	3,288	12,796
0.998	8,867	21,663

Spread0.030Mid0.966

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.951	30	30
0.950	145	175
0.949	66	241
0.946	50	291
0.931	20	311
0.166	25	336
0.165	42	379
0.161	50	428
0.141	20	448
0.101	50	498
0.100	200	698
0.090	20	718

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
plemic95	Yes	1,814.65
0x455c…e548	Yes	676.89
mag7a	Yes	272.06
54sfds	Yes	217.68
Perypery	Yes	200.22
b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.	Yes	145
Jacobo222	Yes	111.71
LornaPredicts	Yes	110.92
Alexx4525	Yes	74.44
Winedrinker	Yes	67.38
AJSV	Yes	66.4
0x5533…51ba	Yes	66
Haradwaith	Yes	50.1
Zer0zer0thr3	Yes	50.1
0x8Be43bd4A3c0347C25fc715092F0eB047390A60c-1774664689777	Yes	40
sgf77	Yes	36.51
0xe50c19A43bDd336B171e481E5630dc5e8F73D88C-1780110031415	Yes	31.83
0x8F9F70a4D9beeB568742C06f15Ea7Bd9A60236e1-1769884053243	Yes	31.28
0xF6922dC01EEaA69A7C0515a08179B4315cFF554C-1784854491166	Yes	29.47
daroghi	Yes	27

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
15:24:09	SELL	Yes	0.053	20	$1.06
12:21:51	BUY	No	0.959	423	$405.52
21:05:54	SELL	Yes	0.0426571429	70	$2.99
17:18:49	SELL	Yes	0.042	50	$2.10
15:01:40	SELL	No	0.9648825106	373	$360.04
17:55:55	BUY	Yes	0.0285714286	70	$2.00
13:03:15	SELL	Yes	0.0139619649	570	$7.96
05:12:00	SELL	Yes	0.017	5	$0.09
05:55:18	BUY	No	0.966	5	$4.83
14:28:06	SELL	Yes	0.02	40	$0.80
14:25:45	BUY	No	0.966	10	$9.66
14:25:40	BUY	No	0.9599866295	251	$241.24
14:24:01	BUY	No	0.9586684167	72	$69.39
12:41:04	SELL	Yes	0.117014	100	$11.70
12:40:30	SELL	Yes	0.1192946667	300	$35.79
12:39:27	SELL	Yes	0.121	30	$3.63
12:38:10	BUY	Yes	0.1543502045	983	$151.72
12:38:10	BUY	No	0.145	17	$2.47
12:24:58	SELL	No	0.854	20	$17.27
20:54:30	SELL	No	0.853	1	$0.90
17:57:21	SELL	Yes	0.107	28	$3.01
22:55:06	BUY	Yes	0.1342812029	112	$15.00
12:28:19	SELL	Yes	0.043	6	$0.26
12:05:46	BUY	No	0.91	6	$5.46
08:19:30	BUY	No	0.919	17	$15.35