Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: None on this market
Ends: 2026-12-31
Rewards: 50 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.130. up 0.003 over the period, from 0.127. Range 0.019 to 0.154. 167 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.179	5	5
0.180	10	15
0.181	16	31
0.185	25	56
0.186	35	91
0.187	15	106
0.188	108	214
0.189	112	327
0.199	76	402
0.200	505	907
0.231	31	938
0.262	15	953

Spread0.098Mid0.130

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.081	12	12
0.080	35	47
0.079	947	994
0.017	31	1,025
0.016	33	1,058
0.015	20	1,078
0.014	393	1,471
0.013	5	1,476
0.010	536	2,012
0.009	750	2,762
0.008	961	3,723
0.007	1,238	4,961

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.919	12	12
0.920	35	47
0.921	947	994
0.983	31	1,025
0.984	33	1,058
0.985	20	1,078
0.986	393	1,471
0.987	5	1,476
0.990	536	2,012
0.991	750	2,762
0.992	961	3,723
0.993	1,238	4,961

Spread0.098Mid0.870

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.821	5	5
0.820	10	15
0.819	16	31
0.815	25	56
0.814	35	91
0.813	15	106
0.812	108	214
0.811	112	327
0.801	76	402
0.800	505	907
0.769	31	938
0.738	15	953

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
plemic95	Yes	1,814.65
0x455c…e548	Yes	1,353.74
Perypery	Yes	200.22
St3f	Yes	100
Alexx4525	Yes	74.44
54sfds	Yes	74.21
Winedrinker	Yes	67.38
DogFacedPonyMarket	Yes	60.58
Zer0zer0thr3	Yes	50.1
0x8Be43bd4A3c0347C25fc715092F0eB047390A60c-1774664689777	Yes	40
sgf77	Yes	36.51
0xe50c19A43bDd336B171e481E5630dc5e8F73D88C-1780110031415	Yes	31.83
0x8F9F70a4D9beeB568742C06f15Ea7Bd9A60236e1-1769884053243	Yes	31.28
LornaPredicts	Yes	28.32
0xc66Ff962E0eD3c5486A93568c0Ed5fDA9196AbcC-1783887639665	Yes	28.13
daroghi	Yes	27
WanderingImpulse	Yes	25
VonVonagh	Yes	25
skvi	Yes	15
TerranSupremacy	Yes	15

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
22:56:46	BUY	Yes	0.066	20	$1.32
22:56:07	BUY	Yes	0.066	20	$1.32
22:55:44	BUY	Yes	0.034	5	$0.17
22:55:28	BUY	Yes	0.033	8	$0.27
22:54:58	BUY	Yes	0.033	8	$0.25
19:33:50	BUY	Yes	0.067	8	$0.50
19:23:50	BUY	Yes	0.07	8	$0.57
19:11:23	BUY	Yes	0.074	5	$0.37
19:04:40	SELL	Yes	0.037	58	$2.15
18:32:35	SELL	Yes	0.0231512928	492	$11.39
04:29:00	SELL	No	0.8179275891	60	$49.36
14:48:31	SELL	Yes	0.138184953	3	$0.44
11:10:16	BUY	Yes	0.1699998861	6	$1.00
03:22:30	SELL	No	0.8293373333	15	$12.44
13:07:22	SELL	Yes	0.139	4	$0.61
09:08:01	BUY	Yes	0.14	10	$1.40
09:07:57	BUY	No	0.86	5	$4.30
02:00:06	BUY	No	0.858	15	$12.87
20:31:28	SELL	Yes	0.061	4	$0.26
04:48:58	SELL	No	0.9	1	$0.95
04:48:57	SELL	No	0.9	1	$0.95
04:48:55	SELL	No	0.9	1	$0.95
04:48:54	SELL	No	0.9	1	$0.95
04:48:51	SELL	No	0.9	1	$0.95
03:48:45	BUY	No	0.9489999763	1	$1.00