Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: None on this market
Ends: 2027-01-08
Resolves by: https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/map/?extent=32.54681
Rewards: 50 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.034. down 0.001 over the period, from 0.035. Range 0.030 to 0.053. 151 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.041	18	18
0.042	57	75
0.043	120	196
0.045	100	296
0.047	200	496
0.069	80	576
0.586	5	581
0.587	19	600
0.588	17	617
0.590	435	1,052
0.900	200	1,252
0.966	600	1,852

Spread0.015Mid0.034

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.026	40	40
0.025	13	53
0.024	12	65
0.021	31	96
0.020	123	219
0.018	214	433
0.017	77	510
0.016	35	545
0.014	38	583
0.013	329	911
0.012	758	1,670
0.005	800	2,470

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.974	40	40
0.975	13	53
0.976	12	65
0.979	31	96
0.980	123	219
0.982	214	433
0.983	77	510
0.984	35	545
0.986	38	583
0.987	329	911
0.988	758	1,670
0.995	800	2,470

Spread0.015Mid0.966

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.959	18	18
0.958	57	75
0.957	120	196
0.955	100	296
0.953	200	496
0.931	80	576
0.414	5	581
0.413	19	600
0.412	17	617
0.410	435	1,052
0.100	200	1,252
0.034	600	1,852

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
plemic95	Yes	1,814.65
rushrimper	Yes	504.52
mag7a	Yes	272.06
0x917D5EB28bA4BA5E62e99344BD0DbdecF9489fA6-1778783713709	Yes	210.87
Perypery	Yes	200.22
LornaPredicts	Yes	150.92
Jacobo222	Yes	111.71
Alexx4525	Yes	74.44
xtxpleasecallme	Yes	71.4
Winedrinker	Yes	67.38
crossFiter	Yes	67
93dada	Yes	50.34
92asda	Yes	50.34
Zer0zer0thr3	Yes	50.1
0x8Be43bd4A3c0347C25fc715092F0eB047390A60c-1774664689777	Yes	40
54sfds	Yes	39.69
sgf77	Yes	36.51
0xe50c19A43bDd336B171e481E5630dc5e8F73D88C-1780110031415	Yes	31.83
0x8F9F70a4D9beeB568742C06f15Ea7Bd9A60236e1-1769884053243	Yes	31.28
0xF6922dC01EEaA69A7C0515a08179B4315cFF554C-1784854491166	Yes	29.47

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
23:48:54	SELL	Yes	0.015291189	677	$10.35
14:04:49	BUY	No	0.9567363605	94	$90.00
11:01:25	SELL	No	0.937	13	$12.29
17:19:15	SELL	No	0.9363824445	100	$93.24
17:11:23	BUY	Yes	0.0474219266	211	$10.00
12:32:03	BUY	Yes	0.033	5	$0.17
07:28:47	SELL	No	0.931	1	$1.17
03:44:57	SELL	No	0.931	3	$2.93
10:42:26	BUY	Yes	0.0396423205	505	$20.00
13:56:42	BUY	Yes	0.0367435297	27	$1.00
16:03:20	SELL	No	0.966	11	$10.23
15:24:09	SELL	Yes	0.053	20	$1.06
12:21:51	BUY	No	0.959	423	$405.52
21:05:54	SELL	Yes	0.0426571429	70	$2.99
17:18:49	SELL	Yes	0.042	50	$2.10
15:01:40	SELL	No	0.9648825106	373	$360.04
17:55:55	BUY	Yes	0.0285714286	70	$2.00
13:03:15	SELL	Yes	0.0139619649	570	$7.96
05:12:00	SELL	Yes	0.017	5	$0.09
05:55:18	BUY	No	0.966	5	$4.83
14:28:06	SELL	Yes	0.02	40	$0.80
14:25:45	BUY	No	0.966	10	$9.66
14:25:40	BUY	No	0.9599866295	251	$241.24
14:24:01	BUY	No	0.9586684167	72	$69.39
12:41:04	SELL	Yes	0.117014	100	$11.70