PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

sgf77

0xba140e440891658a3f0e139cb605ece7516962b6

Realised P&L
$-515.96
Volume
$5.6k
Markets traded
73
Open portfolio
$67.35

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-9.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded73
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration73.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.1720.055$49.68$105.32
Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027? · Yes0.2740.130$4.75$5.25
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · No0.7940.705$4.00$0.51
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.6170.075$3.65$26.35
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? · Yes0.1300.018$2.85$17.15
Trump out as President before 2027? · No0.8600.935$2.43+$0.19
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? · Yes0.5500.000$0.00$35.00
Netanyahu out by June 30? · Yes0.1600.000$0.00$5.00
Trump declassifies new UFO files by April 30? · Yes0.5200.000$0.00$10.00
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · No0.8350.000$0.00$12.85
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.7600.000$0.00$27.00
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverev · Jakub Mensik0.1410.000$0.00$11.00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? · No0.8200.000$0.00$90.00
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? · Yes0.5400.000$0.00$10.00
Will Canada win on 2026-07-04? · Yes0.2700.000$0.00$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-12 01:14Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?BUY0.7599999966$27.00
07-07 15:56Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?BUY0.7399999911$20.00
07-05 19:56Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?BUY0.5499999972$30.00
07-05 19:51Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?BUY0.549999956$5.00
07-04 17:38Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?BUY0.2699999806$10.00
07-03 21:31Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?BUY0.8599999985$35.00
07-03 18:49Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?BUY0.8599999997$100.00
07-01 01:41Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-30?BUY0.2399999856$10.00
06-29 18:26Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?BUY0.4399999921$20.00
06-29 17:54Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?BUY0.2299999338$2.50
06-29 17:53Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?BUY0.8499999991$45.00
06-29 00:52Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?BUY0.2739291519$10.00
06-28 02:08Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?BUY0.8599999986$50.00
06-22 16:40Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?BUY0.6799999937$30.00
06-15 21:40Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?BUY0.6599999976$50.00