sgf77
0xba140e440891658a3f0e139cb605ece7516962b6
- Realised P&L
- $-370.49
- Volume
- $5.9k
- Markets traded
- 78
- Open portfolio
- $78.53
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded78
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$61.43at 0.140Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$33.43at 0.406Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?
- +$21.35at 0.587Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Martin Landaluce
- +$21.32at 0.190Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$17.97at 0.792Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 5?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-26 22:52 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.999 | $28.79 |
| 10-26 04:50 | Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.88 | $20.00 |
| 10-24 21:38 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.82 | $20.00 |
| 10-23 20:07 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.972 | $39.27 |
| 10-20 20:14 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.8099999352 | $10.00 |
| 10-20 08:10 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.808 | $23.29 |
| 07-12 01:14 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.7599999966 | $27.00 |
| 07-07 15:56 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07? | BUY | 0.7399999911 | $20.00 |
| 07-05 19:56 | Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? | BUY | 0.5499999972 | $30.00 |
| 07-05 19:51 | Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? | BUY | 0.549999956 | $5.00 |
| 07-04 17:38 | Will Canada win on 2026-07-04? | BUY | 0.2699999806 | $10.00 |
| 07-03 21:31 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? | BUY | 0.8599999985 | $35.00 |
| 07-03 18:49 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? | BUY | 0.8599999997 | $100.00 |
| 07-01 01:41 | Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-30? | BUY | 0.2399999856 | $10.00 |
| 06-29 18:26 | Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29? | BUY | 0.4399999921 | $20.00 |