sgf77
0xba140e440891658a3f0e139cb605ece7516962b6
- Realised P&L
- $-515.96
- Volume
- $5.6k
- Markets traded
- 73
- Open portfolio
- $67.35
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-9.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded73
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration73.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$61.43at 0.140Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$21.72at 0.580Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Martin Landaluce
- +$21.32at 0.190Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$19.01at 0.780Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 5?
- +$14.12at 0.680Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-12 01:14 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.7599999966 | $27.00 |
| 07-07 15:56 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07? | BUY | 0.7399999911 | $20.00 |
| 07-05 19:56 | Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? | BUY | 0.5499999972 | $30.00 |
| 07-05 19:51 | Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? | BUY | 0.549999956 | $5.00 |
| 07-04 17:38 | Will Canada win on 2026-07-04? | BUY | 0.2699999806 | $10.00 |
| 07-03 21:31 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? | BUY | 0.8599999985 | $35.00 |
| 07-03 18:49 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? | BUY | 0.8599999997 | $100.00 |
| 07-01 01:41 | Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-30? | BUY | 0.2399999856 | $10.00 |
| 06-29 18:26 | Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29? | BUY | 0.4399999921 | $20.00 |
| 06-29 17:54 | Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29? | BUY | 0.2299999338 | $2.50 |
| 06-29 17:53 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? | BUY | 0.8499999991 | $45.00 |
| 06-29 00:52 | Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027? | BUY | 0.2739291519 | $10.00 |
| 06-28 02:08 | Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27? | BUY | 0.8599999986 | $50.00 |
| 06-22 16:40 | Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | BUY | 0.6799999937 | $30.00 |
| 06-15 21:40 | Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? | BUY | 0.6599999976 | $50.00 |