PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

mag7a

0x449e5e62b1d2b3e892b0a72aca81501d80d8e0f7

Realised P&L
$-53.51
Volume
$6.0k
Markets traded
23
Open portfolio
$33.79

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded23
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration35.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample5 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration46.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
New pandemic in 2026? · Yes0.1300.018$15.67−$97.53
Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027? · Yes0.1320.034$9.11−$26.89
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · Yes0.0800.045$9.00−$7.00
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on August 28? · Yes0.2400.000$0.00−$2.00
Solana Up or Down - August 31, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET · Up0.3800.000$0.00−$3.19
Megaquake by August 31? · Yes0.0680.000$0.00−$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET · Up0.1500.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 31, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET · Up0.2700.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 31, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET · Down0.1400.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Julian Alvarez join Manchester City? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00−$6.00
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings? · No0.0300.000$0.00−$13.99
Will Monterrey win the 2026 Leagues Cup? · Yes0.1940.000$0.00−$4.86
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on August 29? · Yes0.2460.000$0.00−$5.00
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on August 28? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00−$1.00
Deportivo Toluca FC vs. CF Monterrey: Team to Advance · CF Monterrey0.4100.000$0.00−$10.85

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-07 01:14Deportivo Toluca FC vs. CF Monterrey: Team to AdvanceBUY0.4099999875$10.85
09-03 06:00CF América vs. CF Monterrey: Team to AdvanceSELL0.999$24.98
09-01 01:31CF América vs. CF Monterrey: Team to AdvanceBUY0.42$10.50
08-31 22:16Solana Up or Down - August 31, 6:15PM-6:20PM ETBUY0.3799999643$3.19
08-31 22:11Bitcoin Up or Down - August 31, 6:10PM-6:15PM ETBUY0.2699998542$1.00
08-31 22:06Bitcoin Up or Down - August 31, 6:05PM-6:10PM ETBUY0.1399998824$1.00
08-30 06:48Will Monterrey win the 2026 Leagues Cup?BUY0.1940624698$4.86
08-30 06:44Will Julian Alvarez join Manchester City?BUY0.1001821345$6.00
08-28 22:20Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 6:20PM-6:25PM ETBUY0.4699999542$4.00
08-28 21:52Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 5:50PM-5:55PM ETBUY0.1499998875$1.00
08-28 21:46Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 5:45PM-5:50PM ETBUY0.6599999296$3.00
08-28 18:01Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on August 29?BUY0.2460629921$5.00
08-28 18:01Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on August 29?BUY0.0418293166$2.00
08-27 16:38Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on August 28?BUY0.2399999184$2.00
08-27 16:37Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on August 28?BUY0.0047984645$1.00