plemic95
0x6a15bf88167d6d446e2d8b96af003a0c49c95b62
- Realised P&L
- $-151.31
- Volume
- $3.6k
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $241.52
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration97.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027? · Yes | 0.179 | 0.130 | $235.90 | −$89.10 |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.035 | $5.60 | −$10.22 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025? · Yes | 0.052 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.74 |
| Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on April 13? · Yes | 0.322 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$16.42 |
| Will voter turnout be 80%+ in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.449 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.50 |
| Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.44 |
| Will Trump visit Israel before August? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.50 |
| Will Trump say "Fuck" again in June? · Yes | 0.040 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$17.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$64.73at 0.110Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-18 08:38 | Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027? | BUY | 0.1790980457 | $325.00 |
| 05-14 13:38 | Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping? | BUY | 0.3499999615 | $5.00 |
| 05-14 13:38 | Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping? | BUY | 0.4 | $11.00 |
| 05-14 13:38 | Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit? | BUY | 0.005 | $3.50 |
| 05-07 15:06 | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $15.82 |
| 04-12 12:01 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April? | BUY | 0.2999999925 | $18.88 |
| 04-12 10:08 | Will voter turnout be 80%+ in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.4492006384 | $20.00 |
| 04-12 09:59 | Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on April 13? | BUY | 0.3223088165 | $15.85 |
| 04-07 11:00 | Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15? | BUY | 0.1099999889 | $8.00 |
| 09-01 02:15 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025? | BUY | 0.0525304495 | $10.74 |
| 06-26 00:51 | Will Trump visit Israel before August? | BUY | 0.1899999897 | $12.50 |
| 06-26 00:43 | Will Trump say "Fuck" again in June? | BUY | 0.0397998474 | $17.00 |