PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

plemic95

0x6a15bf88167d6d446e2d8b96af003a0c49c95b62

Realised P&L
$-151.31
Volume
$3.6k
Markets traded
12
Open portfolio
$241.52

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded12
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample1 position
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration97.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027? · Yes0.1790.130$235.90$89.10
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · Yes0.1000.035$5.60$10.22
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025? · Yes0.0520.000$0.00$10.74
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping? · Yes0.4000.000$0.00$11.00
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on April 13? · Yes0.3220.000$0.00$16.42
Will voter turnout be 80%+ in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election? · Yes0.4490.000$0.00$20.00
Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00$3.50
Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping? · Yes0.3500.000$0.00$5.00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April? · Yes0.3000.000$0.00$19.44
Will Trump visit Israel before August? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00$12.50
Will Trump say "Fuck" again in June? · Yes0.0400.000$0.00$17.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-18 08:38Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?BUY0.1790980457$325.00
05-14 13:38Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?BUY0.3499999615$5.00
05-14 13:38Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?BUY0.4$11.00
05-14 13:38Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?BUY0.005$3.50
05-07 15:06Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?BUY0.1$15.82
04-12 12:01Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?BUY0.2999999925$18.88
04-12 10:08Will voter turnout be 80%+ in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?BUY0.4492006384$20.00
04-12 09:59Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on April 13?BUY0.3223088165$15.85
04-07 11:00Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?BUY0.1099999889$8.00
09-01 02:15Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?BUY0.0525304495$10.74
06-26 00:51Will Trump visit Israel before August?BUY0.1899999897$12.50
06-26 00:43Will Trump say "Fuck" again in June?BUY0.0397998474$17.00