Jacobo222
0xc678a9e4fae1c4f74cb50f4107e7ee84123ee738
- Realised P&L
- $540.24
- Volume
- $123.6k
- Markets traded
- 340
- Open portfolio
- $23.24
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded340
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.9kat 0.036Will the next Pope be from North America?
- +$111.41at 0.059Megaquake before August?
- +$100.00at 0.100Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
- +$95.77at 0.176Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$79.70at 0.473Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on April 9?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-30 22:56 | Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $15.00 |
| 08-30 22:55 | 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? | BUY | 0.0775741147 | $20.00 |
| 08-30 22:55 | Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027? | BUY | 0.1342812029 | $15.00 |
| 07-19 21:41 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.599 | $139.55 |
| 07-06 21:23 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1829999933 | $20.00 |
| 07-06 19:17 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.0573069908 | $29.85 |
| 06-18 15:18 | Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.94 |
| 06-18 15:17 | Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0169999992 | $20.00 |
| 06-18 15:17 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1289999902 | $10.00 |
| 06-15 16:02 | Exact Score: Any Other Score? | BUY | 0.4399998444 | $1.47 |
| 06-14 09:31 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1669999764 | $5.00 |
| 06-14 09:28 | Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? | BUY | 0.3799999833 | $10.00 |
| 06-14 09:20 | Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw? | BUY | 0.3399999633 | $5.00 |
| 06-14 09:12 | Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? | BUY | 0.3799999624 | $4.25 |
| 06-14 09:11 | Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $230 by end of June? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.18 |