PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Jacobo222

0xc678a9e4fae1c4f74cb50f4107e7ee84123ee738

Realised P&L
$510.94
Volume
$123.6k
Markets traded
340
Open portfolio
$21.32

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded340
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration35.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration49.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? · Yes0.0770.041$10.57−$9.43
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0800.036$6.84−$8.16
Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027? · Yes0.1340.034$3.74−$11.26
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1100.018$0.16−$0.84
Will Spain win the UEFA Nations League? · Yes0.3800.000$0.00−$3.00
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00−$4.00
Will the next Pope be from South America? · Yes0.0200.000$0.00−$10.00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April? · Yes0.0290.000$0.00−$3.00
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of January? · Yes0.0170.000$0.00−$2.00
Will Bitcoin dip to $90k in October? · Yes0.0620.000$0.00−$2.00
China x Taiwan military clash by December 31? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00−$16.00
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on April 15? · Yes0.0070.000$0.00−$1.00
Will "War Machine" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET · Down0.2020.000$0.00−$11.00
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on April 15? · Yes0.0270.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-30 22:56Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.08$15.00
08-30 22:559.0 or above earthquake before 2027?BUY0.0775741147$20.00
08-30 22:55Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?BUY0.1342812029$15.00
07-19 21:41Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.599$139.55
07-06 21:23Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1829999933$20.00
07-06 19:17Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.0573069908$29.85
06-18 15:18Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.001$1.94
06-18 15:17Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0169999992$20.00
06-18 15:17Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1289999902$10.00
06-15 16:02Exact Score: Any Other Score?BUY0.4399998444$1.47
06-14 09:31Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1669999764$5.00
06-14 09:28Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?BUY0.3799999833$10.00
06-14 09:20Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw?BUY0.3399999633$5.00
06-14 09:12Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?BUY0.3799999624$4.25
06-14 09:11Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $230 by end of June?SELL0.002$0.18