rushrimper
0x5745095625e12c0125bc1ce6f6f1c8e3f6e7aa5e
- Realised P&L
- $-2.3k
- Volume
- $248.2k
- Markets traded
- 270
- Open portfolio
- $139.46
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded270
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration49.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration59.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes | 0.820 | 0.685 | $83.54 | −$16.46 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December? · Yes | 0.186 | 0.060 | $39.02 | −$80.98 |
| Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027? · Yes | 0.040 | 0.034 | $16.90 | −$3.10 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$159.83 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET · Up | 0.570 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$476.99 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET · Up | 0.590 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.4kat 0.123Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 1 Croatia?
- +$1.1kat 0.103Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 0 Ecuador?
- +$985.30at 0.070Exact Score: England 1 - 2 Argentina?
- +$897.30at 0.103Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 0 Algeria?
- +$485.75at 0.174Exact Score: Australia 1 - 1 Egypt?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-28 17:54 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.028 | $7.00 |
| 10-28 17:53 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0286031315 | $40.00 |
| 10-28 17:52 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.001 | $10.00 |
| 10-28 17:51 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.001 | $10.00 |
| 10-28 17:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET | BUY | 0.2 | $10.00 |
| 10-28 17:07 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.001 | $10.00 |
| 10-28 12:52 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.004 | $10.00 |
| 10-28 12:40 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0522404345 | $100.00 |
| 10-27 03:59 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.001 | $10.00 |
| 10-27 00:57 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0699999999 | $20.00 |
| 10-25 02:08 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.05 | $20.00 |
| 10-25 02:07 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.002 | $10.00 |
| 10-23 12:29 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0899999999 | $100.00 |
| 10-22 07:45 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.1199999998 | $40.00 |
| 10-21 09:11 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December? | BUY | 0.0899999993 | $10.00 |