0xF6922dC01EEaA69A7C0515a08179B4315cFF554C-1784854491166
0xf6922dc01eeaa69a7c0515a08179b4315cff554c
- Realised P&L
- $-703.97
- Volume
- $20.7k
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $915.04
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration51.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.106 | 0.090 | $474.25 | −$85.75 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes | 0.194 | 0.083 | $295.43 | −$399.01 |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the next leader out before 2027? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.032 | $62.64 | −$37.36 |
| Will XRP reach $2.80 in September? · Yes | 0.032 | 0.011 | $59.18 | −$103.86 |
| Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.018 | 0.004 | $10.50 | −$43.30 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.239 | 0.566 | $9.46 | +$5.46 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September? · Yes | 0.018 | 0.018 | $2.51 | −$0.07 |
| Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027? · Yes | 0.114 | 0.036 | $1.06 | −$2.30 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August? · Yes | 0.031 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$45.85 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-13 00:53 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September? | BUY | 0.0179999999 | $2.58 |
| 09-12 03:08 | Will XRP reach $2.80 in September? | BUY | 0.0316830446 | $163.05 |
| 09-08 03:34 | Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.0179295115 | $53.80 |
| 08-30 13:33 | Will Delcy Rodríguez be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.0502891055 | $100.00 |
| 08-18 06:34 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August? | BUY | 0.031 | $45.85 |
| 08-10 05:10 | Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027? | BUY | 0.1139999708 | $3.36 |
| 08-08 12:35 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.1699999997 | $405.12 |
| 08-04 03:04 | Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1062729322 | $560.00 |
| 07-31 16:09 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.2415226251 | $289.33 |
| 07-28 20:17 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.2389999442 | $3.00 |
| 07-27 22:23 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.238999842 | $1.00 |