Will a 8.0+ earthquake occur worldwide by October 31?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2026-11-01
Resolves by: https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/
Rewards: 20 min size · 6.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.070. up 0.003 over the period, from 0.067. Range 0.053 to 0.197. 166 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.088	60	60
0.102	50	110
0.103	60	170
0.199	9	179
0.200	80	259
0.350	345	604
0.740	53	657
0.950	13	670
0.966	400	1,070
0.967	1,000	2,070
0.974	2,500	4,570
0.980	3,000	7,570

Spread0.037Mid0.069

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.051	109	109
0.047	40	149
0.046	5	154
0.040	172	326
0.036	60	386
0.002	375	761
0.001	2,470	3,231

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.949	109	109
0.953	40	149
0.954	5	154
0.960	172	326
0.964	60	386
0.998	375	761
0.999	2,470	3,231

Spread0.037Mid0.930

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.912	60	60
0.898	50	110
0.897	60	170
0.801	9	179
0.800	80	259
0.650	345	604
0.260	53	657
0.050	13	670
0.034	400	1,070
0.033	1,000	2,070
0.026	2,500	4,570
0.020	3,000	7,570

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
AJSV	Yes	597.19
0x97acBbD34Ffd758673BF933103C878EE4A6a8BEd-1774163872915	Yes	565.18
outcomes	Yes	345
VonVonagh	Yes	50
unclefei028	Yes	13.51
jonnyquakes	Yes	13.46
2B9S	Yes	12.21
68492363940	Yes	10.87
ourdemocracy	No	665.96
KiruaTrading	No	219.9
gotonetry33	No	172.1
XAE12Archangel	No	146.14
cplyrcmol2	No	103.91
0x7f15F350261a0dfA8bff802df364E33773d552f1-1768964329836	No	93.35
Haradwaith	No	64
ppyiago	No	50
infoowl	No	26.97
gfdgfvfvssdd	No	25
oldmen	No	20
bubububblebutt	No	20

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
07:58:04	BUY	No	0.955	20	$19.10
09:26:28	BUY	Yes	0.082	25	$2.05
05:56:01	BUY	Yes	0.069	96	$6.63
18:37:31	SELL	Yes	0.0614209333	75	$4.61
18:35:08	BUY	No	0.935	146	$136.64
18:17:17	BUY	Yes	0.198	60	$11.88
18:15:08	BUY	Yes	0.1746956522	345	$60.27
18:15:02	BUY	Yes	0.17	15	$2.55
18:14:47	BUY	Yes	0.08	10	$0.80
18:14:22	BUY	Yes	0.17	10	$1.70
18:06:46	BUY	Yes	0.7399999896	14	$10.00
18:03:16	BUY	Yes	0.7399999866	13	$9.96
18:02:43	SELL	No	0.6959317865	22	$15.00
18:02:01	BUY	Yes	0.0834193548	310	$25.86
20:46:35	BUY	No	0.966	20	$19.32
20:46:35	BUY	No	0.949	20	$18.98
23:56:55	BUY	Yes	0.1	12	$1.21
14:01:51	SELL	No	0.93	4	$3.72
13:39:12	BUY	No	0.9623504844	104	$100.00
23:47:23	BUY	Yes	0.1	32	$3.17
19:40:20	SELL	No	0.91	20	$18.20
17:43:02	SELL	No	0.91	20	$18.20
16:44:46	SELL	No	0.91	4	$3.64
16:43:43	SELL	No	0.92	4	$3.68
16:41:14	BUY	Yes	0.08	10	$0.80