68492363940
0x2aa29e3799f1341a8f835e9a9c025eb8e988a5f2
- Realised P&L
- $-147.54
- Volume
- $2.3k
- Markets traded
- 50
- Open portfolio
- $46.30
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded50
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample48 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$29.45at 0.411Will Bitcoin dip to $67,000 on March 7?
- +$18.44at 0.539Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?
- +$11.53at 0.308Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?
- +$11.00at 0.450Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET
- +$11.00at 0.450Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 23:42 | Will a 8.0+ earthquake occur worldwide by October 31? | BUY | 0.4599999669 | $5.00 |
| 10-03 23:42 | Will a 7.5+ earthquake occur worldwide by October 31? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $5.00 |
| 10-03 23:42 | Will a 7.0+ earthquake occur worldwide by October 31? | BUY | 0.6699999611 | $5.00 |
| 10-03 23:31 | Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio? | BUY | 0.299999994 | $5.00 |
| 10-03 23:22 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | SELL | 0.8 | $63.15 |
| 10-03 23:21 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | SELL | 0.9 | $7.50 |
| 09-06 01:08 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | BUY | 0.8399998944 | $7.00 |
| 08-17 00:57 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.5699999967 | $60.00 |
| 08-17 00:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET | BUY | 0.4799999808 | $5.00 |
| 08-17 00:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET | BUY | 0.6299999017 | $5.00 |
| 08-17 00:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET | BUY | 0.4930966469 | $5.00 |
| 08-17 00:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET | BUY | 0.5599999776 | $5.00 |
| 06-13 21:25 | Will Iran advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.6319999815 | $3.00 |
| 06-13 21:21 | Brazil to score first vs. Morocco? | BUY | 0.6499999935 | $10.00 |
| 06-13 21:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET | BUY | 0.4571026452 | $5.00 |