PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

68492363940

0x2aa29e3799f1341a8f835e9a9c025eb8e988a5f2

Realised P&L
$-147.54
Volume
$2.3k
Markets traded
50
Open portfolio
$46.30

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-6.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded50
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample48 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration48.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · No0.5700.845$22.24+$7.24
Will a 7.5+ earthquake occur worldwide by October 31? · Yes0.3500.974$13.91+$8.91
Will a 7.0+ earthquake occur worldwide by October 31? · Yes0.6700.993$7.41+$2.41
New pandemic in 2026? · Yes0.1300.045$1.73−$3.27
Will a 8.0+ earthquake occur worldwide by October 31? · Yes0.4600.070$0.76−$4.24
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2400.025$0.25−$2.15
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? · Yes0.5900.000$0.00−$20.00
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March? · Yes0.4550.000$0.00−$86.40
Will Iran advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.6320.000$0.00−$3.00
Brazil to score first vs. Morocco? · Yes0.6500.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March? · Yes0.2840.000$0.00−$34.39
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March? · Yes0.2270.000$0.00−$17.20
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET · Up0.4500.000$0.00−$9.00
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March? · Yes0.0730.000$0.00−$12.48
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30? · No0.3100.000$0.00−$20.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-03 23:42Will a 8.0+ earthquake occur worldwide by October 31?BUY0.4599999669$5.00
10-03 23:42Will a 7.5+ earthquake occur worldwide by October 31?BUY0.3499999825$5.00
10-03 23:42Will a 7.0+ earthquake occur worldwide by October 31?BUY0.6699999611$5.00
10-03 23:31Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?BUY0.299999994$5.00
10-03 23:22Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?SELL0.8$63.15
10-03 23:21Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?SELL0.9$7.50
09-06 01:08Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?BUY0.8399998944$7.00
08-17 00:57Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?BUY0.5699999967$60.00
08-17 00:53Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 8:50PM-8:55PM ETBUY0.4799999808$5.00
08-17 00:53Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 8:50PM-8:55PM ETBUY0.6299999017$5.00
08-17 00:53Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 8:50PM-8:55PM ETBUY0.4930966469$5.00
08-17 00:53Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 8:50PM-8:55PM ETBUY0.5599999776$5.00
06-13 21:25Will Iran advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.6319999815$3.00
06-13 21:21Brazil to score first vs. Morocco?BUY0.6499999935$10.00
06-13 21:19Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ETBUY0.4571026452$5.00