PolyBot

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Traders

ourdemocracy

0x08c95f70b0565ee01fbb30705b61aa641616a2ef

Realised P&L
$3.9k
Volume
$4.29M
Markets traded
640
Open portfolio
$29.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded640
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration22.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration36.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? · No0.8760.830$10.7k−$594.28
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026? · No0.8490.940$4.7k+$454.21
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? · No0.9140.920$2.8k+$18.00
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? · No0.9080.956$1.5k+$73.61
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in December? · No0.9070.895$1.5k−$19.16
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? · No0.7990.875$1.3k+$114.43
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? · No0.7910.715$1.1k−$113.91
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? · No0.8370.885$972.28+$52.19
Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026? · No0.9040.989$504.39+$43.09
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? · No0.9300.997$498.50+$33.50
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December? · No0.8650.866$480.75+$0.34
Will a 8.0+ earthquake occur worldwide by October 31? · No0.9380.653$435.20−$189.58
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026? · No0.7450.900$366.33+$63.21
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027? · No0.9330.951$305.74+$5.73
Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by October 31? · No0.9000.993$297.75+$27.75

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-26 22:09Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?BUY0.86$860.00
10-26 22:08Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?BUY0.91$2.8k
10-19 08:34Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?SELL0.971$194.22
10-19 08:33Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?BUY0.8697585474$180.11
10-19 08:32Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $1.2T by October 31?BUY0.9641538462$125.34
10-14 12:47Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.60% in October?BUY0.947002997$94.79
10-09 12:07Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in October?BUY0.981995$982.00
10-09 12:07Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in October?BUY0.97$514.31
10-09 12:07Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in October?BUY0.97$970.00
10-09 09:43Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $900B by October 31?BUY0.96$48.10
10-09 09:42RFK Jr. Out by October 31?BUY0.979$56.16
10-09 09:38Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in December?BUY0.94$183.30
10-09 09:38Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?BUY0.8164174$408.21
10-06 11:19Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in October?BUY0.9752649858$78.91
10-06 11:18Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in October?BUY0.975$292.50