PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0x97acBbD34Ffd758673BF933103C878EE4A6a8BEd-1774163872915

0x4c8a6f46c40cc04d5553efe8c89f6e2035a0a328

Realised P&L
$-190.56
Volume
$8.6k
Markets traded
8
Open portfolio
$50.33

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded8
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration92.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample3 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration78.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will a 8.0+ earthquake occur worldwide by October 31? · Yes0.3390.070$39.28−$152.08
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0290.007$11.05−$31.95
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? · Yes0.0070.000$0.00−$29.34
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30? · Yes0.4090.000$0.00−$100.00
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00−$100.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-01 06:58Will a 8.0+ earthquake occur worldwide by October 31?BUY0.3385845127$191.36
10-01 05:50Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.0291909978$43.00
09-28 10:00Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 6:00AM-6:05AM ETBUY0.9399999996$100.00
09-28 10:00Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 6:00AM-6:05AM ETBUY0.95$100.00
09-28 06:05Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?SELL0.93$232.50
06-17 15:53Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?BUY0.4$100.00
06-17 15:47Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?BUY0.0069940191$29.34
06-17 15:40Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.08$100.00
06-13 14:02Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?BUY0.4095808087$100.00
06-13 13:51US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?BUY0.5066424781$100.00