PolyBot

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Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on October 2?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-10-02
Resolves by
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.005. down 0.085 over the period, from 0.090. Range 0.005 to 0.090. 36 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0073030
0.0092050
0.014555
0.015560
0.02044104
0.02310114
0.02416131
0.02510141
0.02625165
0.03272237
0.04022259
0.04612271

Spread0.004Mid0.005

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0031313
0.002518
0.001210228

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9971313
0.998518
0.999210228

Spread0.004Mid0.995

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9933030
0.9912050
0.986555
0.985560
0.98044104
0.97710114
0.97616131
0.97510141
0.97425165
0.96872237
0.96022259
0.95412271

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
wtrader2580Yes188.58
huskyvsYes173.8
quadrant6Yes149.05
balthazarYes124.98
weather12345Yes106.25
tudou1Yes100
pintest3Yes60
averageuserYes52.14
LesterDiamondYes50.11
mmomomm2Yes50
Povar-Yes37.5
PythiaWPDYes36.74
0x64710Eac4D6297AaCbB48e863e83C0a5017bA762-1783339884232Yes35
dp.Yes30.05
antoniosporanoYes30
Smallbet8Yes30
neverhackmeYes26
a5533Yes20.72
ttj01Yes13
0x5eD13c197f82592e52e95B9d9630E900372aD0EC-1776326462435Yes12.55

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
16:00:33BUYNo0.9975$5.08
16:00:33BUYNo0.99730$29.91
16:00:33BUYNo0.99728$27.72
16:00:33BUYNo0.99610$9.96
15:40:00BUYNo0.9976$6.23
15:35:35BUYNo0.9961$1.10
14:27:48BUYYes0.0067090937149$1.00
14:27:39BUYNo0.9962$2.21
13:16:59BUYNo0.9967$6.97
13:11:06BUYNo0.9964$3.57
12:21:36BUYNo0.99520$19.90
12:21:35BUYNo0.99619$19.28
12:21:35BUYNo0.9962$1.65
12:21:35BUYNo0.99635$34.86
11:33:56SELLYes0.00419$0.07
09:11:45BUYNo0.9910$9.90
09:11:17BUYNo0.995283529485$84.60
09:11:15BUYNo0.99463$62.53
09:11:15BUYNo0.99715$14.96
08:17:08BUYYes0.026666666738$1.00
08:15:21SELLYes0.00834$0.27
05:21:03SELLYes0.009162950736$0.33
05:11:02BUYYes0.027522935336$1.00
03:46:17BUYNo0.9925$5.03
03:13:09BUYNo0.98810$9.88