PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

PythiaWPD

0xdd7ace093254d347055cdfc95a94f0550b4b7bfb

Realised P&L
$3.6k
Volume
$3.02M
Markets traded
52,850
Open portfolio
$6.1k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded52,850
Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
ClearProfit concentration10.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration4.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on September 18? · No0.5900.975$93.59+$36.96
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on September 18? · No0.7051.000$63.97+$18.85
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on September 18? · No0.9201.000$63.97+$5.09
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on September 18? · No0.9151.000$63.97+$5.41
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on September 18? · No0.8901.000$63.97+$7.01
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 18? · No0.8701.000$63.97+$8.29
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on September 18? · No0.8601.000$63.97+$8.93
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on September 18? · No0.8651.000$63.96+$8.61
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on September 18? · No0.9251.000$63.96+$4.77
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on September 18? · No0.9000.980$62.72+$5.12
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on September 18? · No0.8750.920$58.88+$2.89
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 19? · No0.7900.785$50.23$0.32
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on September 18? · No0.5631.000$47.98+$20.94
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on September 18? · No0.6571.000$47.98+$16.46
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on September 18? · No0.6521.000$45.11+$15.67

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 08:06Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on September 18?SELL0.999$95.90
09-18 04:25Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on September 18?BUY0.88$21.12
09-18 01:36Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on September 18?BUY0.49$3.43
09-18 01:36Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on September 18?BUY0.49$3.43
09-17 23:57Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on September 18?BUY0.53$3.71
09-17 16:55Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C or higher on September 17?SELL0.999$126.87
09-17 13:06Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on September 19?BUY0.65$20.80
09-17 09:51Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 17?SELL0.9967942708$95.69
09-17 07:03Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 17?SELL0.999$95.90
09-17 02:14Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on September 17?BUY0.17$1.02
09-16 19:27Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on September 17?BUY0.18$1.16
09-16 18:55Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on September 18?BUY0.18$1.26
09-16 18:48Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 16?SELL0.999$95.90
09-16 14:35Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on September 18?BUY0.48$0.48
09-16 14:32Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on September 18?BUY0.48$6.72