Povar-
0x51bf2d7363f37d88b10873f7fe4a89cf95ae73e4
- Realised P&L
- $-106.27
- Volume
- $60.9k
- Markets traded
- 527
- Open portfolio
- $7.79
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded527
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$179.09at 0.005Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on September 29?
- +$116.82at 0.037Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on September 5?
- +$61.06at 0.060Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on September 30?
- +$59.83at 0.031Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on September 3?
- +$52.33at 0.136Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 100°F or higher on October 5?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-16 21:33 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on October 17? | BUY | 0.1094963142 | $2.00 |
| 10-16 21:24 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 66-67°F on October 17? | BUY | 0.1073170711 | $2.00 |
| 10-16 20:21 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 58-59°F on October 16? | BUY | 0.6499999152 | $2.30 |
| 10-16 20:17 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 60-61°F on October 16? | SELL | 0.0652036718 | $2.27 |
| 10-16 17:31 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 60-61°F on October 16? | BUY | 0.120952379 | $3.00 |
| 10-16 17:26 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 100°F or higher on October 16? | SELL | 0.0661914608 | $3.46 |
| 10-16 14:31 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 100°F or higher on October 16? | BUY | 0.0735150688 | $3.84 |
| 10-16 14:26 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 60-61°F on October 16? | BUY | 0.0995024876 | $1.00 |
| 10-16 14:10 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 72-73°F on October 17? | BUY | 0.0197839592 | $1.00 |
| 10-16 14:00 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 65°F or below on October 16? | SELL | 0.5079794319 | $5.19 |
| 10-16 12:27 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 65°F or below on October 16? | BUY | 0.3915106016 | $4.00 |
| 10-16 12:27 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on October 16? | SELL | 0.0108151593 | $0.63 |
| 10-16 12:14 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 33°C on October 17? | SELL | 0.0065205857 | $0.99 |
| 10-16 12:12 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on October 17? | SELL | 0.0050225133 | $0.71 |
| 10-16 12:12 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on October 17? | SELL | 0.061 | $2.03 |