tudou1
0x3be578df57b561105d8f6578c1e1f2d0c079bc8b
- Realised P&L
- $932.46
- Volume
- $70.4k
- Markets traded
- 1,596
- Open portfolio
- $77.85
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded1,596
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration18.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration47.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$45.04at 0.074Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 34°C on July 2?
- +$37.60at 0.020Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 1?
- +$36.90at 0.072Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 11?
- +$33.40at 0.033Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on July 29?
- +$27.69at 0.880Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on September 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 14:35 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.11 | $0.20 |
| 09-18 00:29 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.52 | $20.79 |
| 09-17 12:44 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on September 17? | SELL | 0.24 | $2.73 |
| 09-17 01:43 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 17? | SELL | 0.07 | $1.40 |
| 09-16 17:29 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.04 |
| 09-16 05:09 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.77 | $2.22 |
| 09-14 16:11 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on September 14? | SELL | 0.7733469324 | $49.29 |
| 09-14 14:45 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on September 15? | SELL | 0.08 | $1.60 |
| 09-14 08:56 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on September 14? | SELL | 0.005 | $1.24 |
| 09-12 13:48 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on September 12? | SELL | 0.04 | $1.60 |
| 09-11 11:47 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on September 11? | BUY | 0.01 | $0.55 |
| 09-11 09:53 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on September 12? | SELL | 0.09 | $1.80 |
| 09-11 00:46 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 11? | BUY | 0.88 | $79.20 |
| 09-10 14:09 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on September 10? | SELL | 0.005 | $0.84 |
| 09-09 10:07 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on September 9? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.30 |