quadrant6
0x81c532897390e9eba991e11f3cf3006ebdae9d28
- Realised P&L
- $-79.43
- Volume
- $60.3k
- Markets traded
- 499
- Open portfolio
- $44.38
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded499
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$200.47at 0.331U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?
- +$156.11at 0.640US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?
- +$73.78at 0.573Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on September 3?
- +$42.07at 0.100Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on September 18?
- +$36.65at 0.221Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on August 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 22:33 | Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during their summit? | BUY | 0.035 | $5.00 |
| 09-24 22:33 | Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during their summit? | BUY | 0.0899999993 | $10.00 |
| 09-24 22:21 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on September 26? | BUY | 0.0706360185 | $3.00 |
| 09-24 22:20 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C or below on September 25? | BUY | 0.018795438 | $2.00 |
| 09-24 22:19 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.022485434 | $2.00 |
| 09-24 22:18 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.0683118436 | $4.00 |
| 09-24 22:18 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.1799999986 | $5.00 |
| 09-24 22:09 | Taylor Swift pregnant before 2027? | SELL | 0.11 | $5.81 |
| 09-24 22:08 | Will Rodri finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.62 | $43.40 |
| 09-24 22:08 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on September 24? | SELL | 0.999 | $38.42 |
| 09-24 06:46 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.1054313079 | $3.00 |
| 09-24 06:46 | Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.1316358556 | $5.00 |
| 09-24 02:38 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on September 25? | BUY | 0.004775686 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 02:38 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on September 25? | BUY | 0.033920152 | $2.00 |
| 09-23 20:39 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.1399999989 | $5.00 |