wtrader2580
0x38a1b79cc3b9c1742ac047c8c6e39e2f8aaf3154
- Realised P&L
- $5.5k
- Volume
- $462.2k
- Markets traded
- 10,372
- Open portfolio
- $3.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded10,372
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- ClearProfit concentration10.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration3.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$378.73at 0.014Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C or below on August 15?
- +$272.00at 0.039Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on August 11?
- +$209.41at 0.061Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 17?
- +$207.64at 0.039Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 16?
- +$199.95at 0.025Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on July 28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 01:47 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on September 18? | BUY | 0.7 | $4.71 |
| 09-18 01:22 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.7 | $19.60 |
| 09-18 01:22 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.05 | $0.32 |
| 09-18 01:17 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.03 | $0.40 |
| 09-18 01:15 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.7 | $19.60 |
| 09-18 01:09 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.71 | $19.88 |
| 09-18 01:09 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.016 | $0.24 |
| 09-18 01:04 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.016 | $0.16 |
| 09-18 01:02 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.016 | $0.24 |
| 09-18 00:58 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.016 | $0.16 |
| 09-18 00:56 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.016 | $0.24 |
| 09-18 00:54 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.016 | $0.24 |
| 09-18 00:52 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.016 | $0.24 |
| 09-18 00:50 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.016 | $0.24 |
| 09-18 00:48 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.016 | $0.24 |