PolyBot

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Traders

wtrader2580

0x38a1b79cc3b9c1742ac047c8c6e39e2f8aaf3154

Realised P&L
$5.5k
Volume
$462.2k
Markets traded
10,372
Open portfolio
$3.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
BlockerMarkets traded10,372
Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
ClearProfit concentration10.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration3.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on September 18? · No0.7600.875$113.75+$14.95
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C on September 18? · No0.8901.000$109.94+$12.04
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on September 18? · No0.7220.800$108.00+$10.53
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on September 18? · No0.8080.885$103.55+$8.97
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on September 17? · No0.7851.000$99.95+$21.45
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on September 18? · No0.7270.920$99.36+$20.79
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on September 19? · No0.8200.825$99.00+$0.60
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on September 17? · No0.7061.000$97.17+$28.56
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on September 19? · No0.7440.715$93.67$3.77
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on September 17? · No0.7101.000$83.96+$24.32
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on September 18? · No0.8200.840$82.32+$1.98
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on September 18? · No0.7140.760$82.08+$4.94
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on September 18? · No0.7010.605$78.06$12.43
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 18? · No0.7150.705$76.84$1.07
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on September 18? · No0.7861.000$69.97+$14.91

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 01:47Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on September 18?BUY0.7$4.71
09-18 01:22Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 19?BUY0.7$19.60
09-18 01:22Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on September 19?BUY0.05$0.32
09-18 01:17Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on September 18?BUY0.03$0.40
09-18 01:15Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 19?BUY0.7$19.60
09-18 01:09Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 19?BUY0.71$19.88
09-18 01:09Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on September 18?BUY0.016$0.24
09-18 01:04Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on September 18?BUY0.016$0.16
09-18 01:02Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on September 18?BUY0.016$0.24
09-18 00:58Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on September 18?BUY0.016$0.16
09-18 00:56Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on September 18?BUY0.016$0.24
09-18 00:54Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on September 18?BUY0.016$0.24
09-18 00:52Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on September 18?BUY0.016$0.24
09-18 00:50Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on September 18?BUY0.016$0.24
09-18 00:48Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on September 18?BUY0.016$0.24