PolyBot

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Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C or below on October 4?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-10-04
Resolves by
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.001. down 0.020 over the period, from 0.021. Range 0.001 to 0.021. 36 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0011,8561,856
0.0024802,336
0.0059843,320
0.0063303,650
0.00953,655
0.0105544,209
0.01854,214
0.02054,219
0.030104,229
0.039304,259
0.040604,319
0.050524,371

Spread—Mid—

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal

Spread—Mid—

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9991,8561,856
0.9984802,336
0.9959843,320
0.9943303,650
0.99153,655
0.9905544,209
0.98254,214
0.98054,219
0.970104,229
0.961304,259
0.960604,319
0.950524,371

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
TRACKER2Yes999.99
PythiaWPDYes79.99
0X496f76bd5cf4c2819c710ae90ed1c84b2dc6fa5dYes79.99
.MentheYes50
MarketanalysorYes25
shizuku1Yes24
0x496f76BD5Cf4c2819C710aE90Ed1C84B2dc6FA5D-1773782287927Yes20
TENETENETYes10
triklozoidYes5
batistpkNo994.99
0xa5ef…2966No159.38
weatherbonderNo50
0xC8d695d901814E811D0f2a0aEba774FF67D93999-1761783595559No38.55
underwaterdruidNo30
ajummaNo10.01
ristotest3No10
weather-highest-strangleNo1

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
15:08:05BUYNo0.99939$38.51
15:06:26BUYNo0.99950$49.95
15:05:47BUYNo0.99910$9.99
15:04:08BUYNo0.99930$29.97
13:49:33BUYNo0.99910$10.00
08:17:39BUYNo0.99917$16.98
08:17:39BUYNo0.99910$9.99
07:49:27BUYNo0.99963$62.94
07:10:41BUYNo0.9996$5.99
06:08:57BUYNo0.999995$994.00
01:46:32BUYNo0.9995$4.53
15:32:03BUYNo0.9991$1.00
12:47:00BUYNo0.99580$79.59
12:02:15BUYNo0.99919$18.82
07:28:45BUYNo0.9995$5.00
07:14:15BUYNo0.9995$5.00