weather-highest-strangle
0xbe7990ac0ea729c5ca3be180c88bf7c97e68508b
- Realised P&L
- $-59.00
- Volume
- $7.3k
- Markets traded
- 4,787
- Open portfolio
- $164.99
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded4,787
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration15.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration2.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.03at 0.507Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET
- +$3.18at 0.904Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on August 2?
- +$3.18at 0.904Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on August 6?
- +$3.10at 0.907Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on August 1?
- +$2.99at 0.931Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on August 2?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 23:52 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C or higher on October 4? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 23:52 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 23:22 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C or below on October 4? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 23:22 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 23:22 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 16°C or below on October 4? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 23:22 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.997999012 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 23:22 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C or below on October 4? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 23:22 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 23:22 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 23:22 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C or higher on October 4? | BUY | 0.9779999883 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 23:22 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C or below on October 4? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 23:22 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 22:42 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C or below on October 4? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 22:42 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 22:42 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C or higher on October 4? | BUY | 0.997999012 | $1.00 |