0xC8d695d901814E811D0f2a0aEba774FF67D93999-1761783595559
0xc8d695d901814e811d0f2a0aeba774ff67d93999
- Realised P&L
- $-1.6k
- Volume
- $83.7k
- Markets traded
- 1,871
- Open portfolio
- $323.80
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,871
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration31.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)26.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the lowest temperature in Busan be 21°C on September 23? · No | 0.990 | 1.000 | $99.95 | +$0.95 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on September 23? · No | 0.990 | 0.990 | $99.05 | +$0.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on September 23? · No | 0.980 | 1.000 | $64.03 | +$1.25 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Shenzhen be 24°C on September 23? · No | 0.990 | 0.520 | $52.00 | −$47.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 22? · No | 0.820 | 1.000 | $5.00 | +$0.90 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 10°C on September 22? · Yes | 0.980 | 0.990 | $1.93 | +$0.02 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 23? · Yes | 0.032 | 0.060 | $1.85 | +$0.85 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET · Up | 0.890 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET · Up | 0.990 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.95 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET · Up | 0.160 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.80 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$101.35at 0.486Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET
- +$95.32at 0.833Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET
- +$81.45at 0.864Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET
- +$73.52at 0.853Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET
- +$68.12at 0.903Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 12:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET | BUY | 0.94 | $4.70 |
| 09-22 12:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET | SELL | 0.88 | $4.40 |
| 09-22 12:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET | BUY | 0.81 | $4.05 |
| 09-22 12:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET | BUY | 0.95 | $47.50 |
| 09-22 12:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET | BUY | 0.8899999858 | $5.00 |
| 09-22 12:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 09-22 12:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET | BUY | 0.16 | $0.80 |
| 09-22 11:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $4.90 |
| 09-22 11:09 | Will the lowest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on September 22? | SELL | 0.9944488731 | $89.57 |
| 09-22 10:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 09-22 10:43 | Will the lowest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on September 22? | BUY | 0.9801187965 | $88.28 |
| 09-22 10:38 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 10°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.98 | $1.91 |
| 09-22 09:27 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.99 | $99.05 |
| 09-22 09:23 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.0324939074 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 09:20 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.84 | $34.44 |