0x4cb1685f2033004a7c987ed2c020a99bb7a64897
- Realised P&L
- not known
- Volume
- not known
- Markets traded
- 4,272
- Open portfolio
- $1.9k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- Not knownEdge per dollar—
- No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
- CautionMarkets traded4,272
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration9.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$131.91at 0.529Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 104-105°F on August 24?
- +$130.98at 0.410Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 13?
- +$101.40at 0.601Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 16?
- +$70.97at 0.366Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on August 12?
- +$61.81at 0.453Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on August 12?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 19:56 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on November 2? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 11-02 19:55 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on November 2? | BUY | 0.999 | $199.80 |
| 11-02 19:02 | Will the lowest temperature in Karachi be 26°C on November 3? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 11-02 19:01 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 11-02 17:54 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on November 2? | BUY | 0.999 | $29.97 |
| 11-02 16:51 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on November 2? | BUY | 0.999 | $50.67 |
| 11-02 16:09 | Will the lowest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on November 3? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 11-02 16:09 | Will the lowest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on November 3? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 11-02 16:09 | Will the lowest temperature in Taipei be 27°C or higher on November 3? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 11-02 16:08 | Will the lowest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C or higher on November 3? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 11-02 16:08 | Will the lowest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C or higher on November 3? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 11-02 16:08 | Will the lowest temperature in Guangzhou be 26°C on November 3? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 11-02 16:08 | Will the lowest temperature in Beijing be 7°C on November 3? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 11-02 16:08 | Will the lowest temperature in Wuhan be 19°C or higher on November 3? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 11-02 16:08 | Will the lowest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C or higher on November 3? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.99 |