ristotest3
0x4cb1685f2033004a7c987ed2c020a99bb7a64897
- Realised P&L
- $232.09
- Volume
- $18.7k
- Markets traded
- 539
- Open portfolio
- $323.43
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded539
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration3.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$131.91at 0.529Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 104-105°F on August 24?
- +$130.98at 0.410Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 13?
- +$101.40at 0.601Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 16?
- +$70.97at 0.366Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on August 12?
- +$61.81at 0.453Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on August 12?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 07:40 | Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on September 18? | BUY | 0.8991497396 | $8.85 |
| 09-18 05:55 | Will the lowest temperature in Dallas be 90°F or higher on September 18? | BUY | 0.999 | $0.94 |
| 09-18 05:54 | Will the lowest temperature in Austin be 86°F or higher on September 18? | BUY | 0.999 | $4.98 |
| 09-18 05:54 | Will the lowest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on September 18? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.93 |
| 09-18 05:54 | Will the lowest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on September 18? | BUY | 0.99 | $0.70 |
| 09-18 05:53 | Will the lowest temperature in Chicago be 76°F or higher on September 18? | BUY | 0.999 | $0.96 |
| 09-18 05:53 | Will the lowest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on September 18? | BUY | 0.999 | $0.96 |
| 09-18 05:53 | Will the lowest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on September 18? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.93 |
| 09-18 04:35 | Will the lowest temperature in Miami be 88°F or higher on September 18? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 09-18 04:32 | Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on September 18? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 09-18 03:38 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 09-18 02:23 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.94 | $7.52 |
| 09-18 02:00 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.996 | $9.96 |
| 09-18 01:30 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 09-17 23:38 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on September 17? | BUY | 0.8136857895 | $10.00 |