shizuku1
0xbb1af6fc4f5f5c7a96b9a5463e197544b3511e6d
- Realised P&L
- $-151.93
- Volume
- $1.22M
- Markets traded
- 16,397
- Open portfolio
- $256.62
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded16,397
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- ClearProfit concentration16.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration10.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$35.82at 0.190Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 2?
- +$31.66at 0.060Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on April 21?
- +$29.58at 0.190Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 11°C on April 24?
- +$23.90at 0.004Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on May 18?
- +$23.64at 0.015Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 19?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 20:32 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.39 | $7.90 |
| 08-03 18:38 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 35°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.35 | $2.80 |
| 08-03 18:33 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.18 | $3.06 |
| 08-03 18:16 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.45 | $3.11 |
| 08-03 17:38 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.42 | $10.08 |
| 08-03 16:18 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 31°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.992 | $1.20 |
| 08-03 15:06 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 30°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.1 | $0.74 |
| 08-03 08:20 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.99 | $0.33 |
| 08-03 07:51 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.31 | $2.18 |
| 08-03 07:03 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 36°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.45 | $3.60 |
| 08-03 06:53 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 36°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.48 | $2.43 |
| 08-03 06:39 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 37°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.26 |
| 08-03 03:30 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.41 | $2.05 |
| 08-03 02:12 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on August 3? | SELL | 0.49 | $11.76 |
| 08-03 01:33 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 36°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.75 | $3.75 |