PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

shizuku1

0xbb1af6fc4f5f5c7a96b9a5463e197544b3511e6d

Realised P&L
$-932.17
Volume
$1.61M
Markets traded
20,716
Open portfolio
$62.54

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded20,716
Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
CautionProfit concentration42.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)10.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration16.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on September 19? · No0.4700.435$10.44$0.84
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on September 19? · No0.4300.385$9.24$1.08
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on September 19? · No0.3400.345$8.28+$0.12
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on September 18? · Yes0.4900.575$6.79+$1.01
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on September 18? · No0.4700.645$4.63+$1.26
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 19? · Yes0.1800.180$4.32+$0.00
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on September 19? · Yes0.1520.175$4.20+$0.55
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C or below on September 18? · Yes0.1600.325$3.71+$1.89
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on September 18? · No0.4800.715$3.00+$0.99
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on September 18? · Yes0.5300.635$1.79+$0.30
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 19? · Yes0.0400.055$1.32+$0.36
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on September 19? · Yes0.1800.175$1.05$0.03
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 19? · Yes0.0330.035$1.00+$0.04
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 19? · Yes0.1900.185$0.74$0.02
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on September 19? · No0.3400.365$0.52+$0.04

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 19:21Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on September 17?SELL0.991$4.46
09-17 15:12Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on September 18?SELL0.04$0.96
09-16 23:15Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on September 17?SELL0.001$0.02
09-16 07:46Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on September 17?SELL0.19$7.22
09-15 19:46Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 17?BUY0.21$1.68
09-15 18:16Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on September 17?BUY0.13$1.04
09-15 15:43Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on September 16?SELL0.36$0.11
09-15 14:23Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C or higher on September 16?SELL0.001$0.02
09-14 16:07Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on September 14?SELL0.993$0.31
09-14 12:54Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on September 15?SELL0.03$0.87
09-12 14:06Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 12?SELL0.997$23.93
09-11 14:21Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 12?SELL0.02$0.58
09-11 00:25Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on September 12?SELL0.3$1.50
09-09 01:47Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on September 10?SELL0.24$1.20
09-06 23:27Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 8?BUY0.24$5.76