shizuku1
0xbb1af6fc4f5f5c7a96b9a5463e197544b3511e6d
- Realised P&L
- $-932.17
- Volume
- $1.61M
- Markets traded
- 20,716
- Open portfolio
- $62.54
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded20,716
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- CautionProfit concentration42.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)10.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$43.20at 0.030Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on August 11?
- +$35.83at 0.190Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 2?
- +$31.67at 0.060Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on April 21?
- +$29.58at 0.190Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 11°C on April 24?
- +$27.68at 0.045Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 14?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 19:21 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on September 17? | SELL | 0.991 | $4.46 |
| 09-17 15:12 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.96 |
| 09-16 23:15 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on September 17? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.02 |
| 09-16 07:46 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on September 17? | SELL | 0.19 | $7.22 |
| 09-15 19:46 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.21 | $1.68 |
| 09-15 18:16 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.13 | $1.04 |
| 09-15 15:43 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on September 16? | SELL | 0.36 | $0.11 |
| 09-15 14:23 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C or higher on September 16? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.02 |
| 09-14 16:07 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on September 14? | SELL | 0.993 | $0.31 |
| 09-14 12:54 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on September 15? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.87 |
| 09-12 14:06 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 12? | SELL | 0.997 | $23.93 |
| 09-11 14:21 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 12? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.58 |
| 09-11 00:25 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on September 12? | SELL | 0.3 | $1.50 |
| 09-09 01:47 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on September 10? | SELL | 0.24 | $1.20 |
| 09-06 23:27 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 8? | BUY | 0.24 | $5.76 |