shizuku1
0xbb1af6fc4f5f5c7a96b9a5463e197544b3511e6d
- Realised P&L
- $-1.2k
- Volume
- $1.68M
- Markets traded
- 22,589
- Open portfolio
- $20.87
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded22,589
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- ClearProfit concentration22.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$43.20at 0.030Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on August 11?
- +$35.83at 0.190Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 2?
- +$31.67at 0.060Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on April 21?
- +$29.58at 0.190Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 11°C on April 24?
- +$27.54at 0.040Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 01:17 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 10°C on November 2? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.10 |
| 11-01 23:10 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on November 2? | SELL | 0.12 | $1.55 |
| 11-01 14:53 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on November 2? | SELL | 0.52 | $2.01 |
| 11-01 02:29 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on November 1? | SELL | 0.2 | $0.12 |
| 10-31 18:52 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on October 31? | SELL | 0.996 | $4.85 |
| 10-31 14:03 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 74-75°F on November 1? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.48 |
| 10-31 06:29 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on October 31? | SELL | 0.9 | $3.47 |
| 10-30 22:00 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 74-75°F on October 30? | SELL | 0.99 | $2.69 |
| 10-30 19:59 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.36 | $3.60 |
| 10-30 18:56 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on October 30? | SELL | 0.28 | $0.53 |
| 10-30 16:47 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on October 30? | SELL | 0.99 | $0.93 |
| 10-30 16:35 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on October 30? | SELL | 0.996 | $2.17 |
| 10-30 16:10 | Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 30? | SELL | 0.99 | $1.45 |
| 10-30 15:59 | Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 30? | SELL | 0.99 | $2.15 |
| 10-30 14:33 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 15°C or higher on October 31? | SELL | 0.005 | $0.10 |