ajumma
0x684f1a44f73f7737df5562bba8fe52829f8a6410
- Realised P&L
- $-28.8k
- Volume
- $60.0k
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $24.49
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-48.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C or below on October 4? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $10.00 | +$0.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on October 4? · No | 0.998 | 0.999 | $6.61 | +$0.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on October 4? · No | 0.996 | 0.996 | $4.51 | +$0.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on October 4? · No | 0.996 | 0.994 | $3.36 | −$0.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-28.8kat 0.980St. Thomas vs. Presbyterian: 2H Moneyline
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 13:49 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C or below on October 4? | BUY | 0.999 | $10.00 |
| 10-03 13:49 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on October 4? | BUY | 0.996 | $3.37 |
| 10-03 13:49 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on October 4? | BUY | 0.996 | $4.51 |
| 10-03 13:49 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.998 | $6.61 |
| 10-03 13:46 | St. Thomas vs. Presbyterian: 2H Moneyline | SELL | 0.02 | $599.35 |
| 10-03 13:46 | St. Thomas vs. Presbyterian: 2H Moneyline | BUY | 0.98 | $29.4k |