PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

weatherbonder

0x620cc87c0f821c8b2aa17d70ce99030124576967

Realised P&L
$166.48
Volume
$134.6k
Markets traded
1,997
Open portfolio
$99.95

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,997
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration7.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration50.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on October 3? · No0.9991.000$49.98+$0.03
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C or below on October 4? · No0.9991.000$49.98+$0.03

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-03 15:06Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C or below on October 4?BUY0.999$49.95
10-03 03:04Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on October 3?BUY0.999$49.95
10-02 03:00Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 15°C or below on October 2?BUY0.999$49.95
10-01 15:07Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 2?BUY0.999$49.95
10-01 00:07Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 25°C on October 1?BUY0.999$49.95
09-30 05:06Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 24°C or below on September 30?BUY0.999$49.95
09-29 22:03Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on September 30?BUY0.999$49.95
09-29 14:06Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C or below on September 29?BUY0.999$49.95
09-28 23:05Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 17°C on September 29?BUY0.999$3.88
09-27 22:08Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on September 28?BUY0.999$49.95
09-27 22:08Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on September 28?BUY0.9984$49.92
09-26 09:07Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on September 26?BUY0.999$49.95
09-26 04:54Will the highest temperature in New York City be 57°F or below on September 26?BUY0.999$49.95
09-25 17:06Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on September 25?BUY0.998$49.90
09-25 04:05Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 24°C on September 25?BUY0.998$49.90