weatherbonder
0x620cc87c0f821c8b2aa17d70ce99030124576967
- Realised P&L
- $166.48
- Volume
- $134.6k
- Markets traded
- 1,997
- Open portfolio
- $99.95
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,997
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration7.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration50.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on October 3? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $49.98 | +$0.03 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C or below on October 4? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $49.98 | +$0.03 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.57at 0.976Will MrBeast's next video get between 29 and 30 million views on day 4?
- +$9.50at 0.980Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week 1?
- +$4.44at 0.971Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?
- +$3.65at 0.985Will MrBeast's next video get between 27 and 28 million views on day 3?
- +$3.65at 0.991Will MrBeast's next video get between 43 and 45 million views on day 2?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 15:06 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C or below on October 4? | BUY | 0.999 | $49.95 |
| 10-03 03:04 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.999 | $49.95 |
| 10-02 03:00 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 15°C or below on October 2? | BUY | 0.999 | $49.95 |
| 10-01 15:07 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.999 | $49.95 |
| 10-01 00:07 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 25°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.999 | $49.95 |
| 09-30 05:06 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 24°C or below on September 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $49.95 |
| 09-29 22:03 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $49.95 |
| 09-29 14:06 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C or below on September 29? | BUY | 0.999 | $49.95 |
| 09-28 23:05 | Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 17°C on September 29? | BUY | 0.999 | $3.88 |
| 09-27 22:08 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.999 | $49.95 |
| 09-27 22:08 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.9984 | $49.92 |
| 09-26 09:07 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.999 | $49.95 |
| 09-26 04:54 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be 57°F or below on September 26? | BUY | 0.999 | $49.95 |
| 09-25 17:06 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.998 | $49.90 |
| 09-25 04:05 | Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 24°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.998 | $49.90 |