underwaterdruid
0x73e0ccf58caf8a62eeb2970645dce32d0978e538
- Realised P&L
- $42.02
- Volume
- $81.1k
- Markets traded
- 2,169
- Open portfolio
- $3.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,169
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration13.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration8.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$92.63at 0.029Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?
- +$81.27at 0.584Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?
- +$25.74at 0.180Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on August 3?
- +$17.14at 0.070Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?
- +$13.20at 0.120Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-08 06:36 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 37°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.999 | $64.94 |
| 08-08 06:36 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 36°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.999 | $64.94 |
| 08-08 06:29 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 39°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.999 | $64.94 |
| 08-08 06:16 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 106-107°F on August 8? | BUY | 0.999 | $64.94 |
| 08-08 06:12 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 37°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.998 | $64.87 |
| 08-08 06:07 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.998 | $64.87 |
| 08-08 06:06 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.996 | $36.74 |
| 08-08 06:06 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.994 | $17.57 |
| 08-08 06:00 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.55 | $5.50 |
| 08-08 05:58 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.998 | $64.87 |
| 08-08 05:57 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.997 | $42.15 |
| 08-08 05:48 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 36°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.999 | $64.94 |
| 08-08 05:28 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.999 | $70.18 |
| 08-08 05:27 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.999 | $89.91 |
| 08-08 05:27 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.999 | $89.91 |