underwaterdruid
0x73e0ccf58caf8a62eeb2970645dce32d0978e538
- Realised P&L
- $408.02
- Volume
- $507.0k
- Markets traded
- 7,834
- Open portfolio
- $8.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded7,834
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration19.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration7.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$88.32at 0.029Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?
- +$81.27at 0.584Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?
- +$31.40at 0.926Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on August 28?
- +$28.90at 0.422Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on September 15?
- +$26.99at 0.730Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 13:00 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 09-22 13:00 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.999 | $119.88 |
| 09-22 12:28 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.998 | $99.80 |
| 09-22 12:00 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C or higher on September 23? | BUY | 0.999 | $24.98 |
| 09-22 11:59 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 11°C or below on September 22? | BUY | 0.999 | $24.98 |
| 09-22 11:02 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.998 | $99.80 |
| 09-22 11:02 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.998 | $199.60 |
| 09-22 10:59 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.99 | $118.80 |
| 09-22 10:58 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.998 | $149.70 |
| 09-22 10:43 | Will the lowest temperature in Houston be between 72-73°F on September 22? | BUY | 0.98 | $4.90 |
| 09-22 10:31 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.999 | $24.98 |
| 09-22 10:30 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 35°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.998 | $24.95 |
| 09-22 09:47 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 09-22 09:45 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.998 | $199.60 |
| 09-22 09:45 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.998 | $99.80 |